Air Lease Corp (NYSE: AL)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Rental & Leasing Services CIK: 0001487712
Market Cap 7.23 Bn
P/B 0.85
P/E 6.92
P/S 2.40
ROIC (Qtr) 6.37
Div Yield % 1.36
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 15.08
Total Debt (Qtr) 19.73 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.33
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About

Air Lease Corporation (ALC), a prominent name in the aircraft leasing industry, operates under the ticker symbol 'AL' on the New York Stock Exchange. The company is an integral part of the airline industry, engaging in the purchase of modern, fuel-efficient commercial jet aircraft from manufacturers such as Airbus and Boeing, and subsequently leasing them to airlines worldwide. ALC's primary business activities revolve around the aircraft leasing and sales sector. The company acquires new technology commercial jet aircraft and leases them to airlines...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.73B provides strong 35.45x coverage of stock compensation 48.93M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.73B provides 7.90x coverage of SG&A expenses 219.44M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Free cash flow of (314M) provides excellent 3.20x coverage of dividends (98.27M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.73B provides strong 3.24x coverage of operating expenses 536.05M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Retained earnings of 5.09B represent substantial 0.60x of equity 8.47B, indicating strong internal capital generation.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.73B barely covers its investment activities of (1.32B), with a coverage ratio of -1.31, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.73B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (98.27M) with a -17.65 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of (314M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 2.05B, with a -0.15 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 2.26B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.22B, with a 1.85 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 1.22B relative to operating cash flow of 1.73B, which is 0.71x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Rental & Leasing Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 URI United Rentals, Inc. 55.62 Bn 22.30 3.45 15.35 Bn
2 FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. 27.80 Bn -179.72 106.00 3.45 Bn
3 AER AerCap Holdings N.V. 26.27 Bn 7.00 3.08 43.57 Bn
4 UHAL U-Haul Holding Co /NV/ 13.75 Bn 106.91 2.29 8.06 Bn
5 GATX Gatx Corp 9.00 Bn 53.16 6.81 9.03 Bn
6 R Ryder System Inc 8.88 Bn 17.80 0.70 7.65 Bn
7 AL Air Lease Corp 7.23 Bn 6.92 2.40 19.73 Bn
8 HRI Herc Holdings Inc 5.00 Bn 5,004.00 1.14 9.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.82 1.32
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 15.55 77.20
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.37 3.45
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.93 -105.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.74 20.85
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -85.89 -1.38
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 3.73 3.10
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.94 9.87
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.85 7.72
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 6.92 277.95
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 7.32 3.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 9.40 500.03
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.88 1.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -31.31 6.22
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.54 -60.94
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 32.53 17.05
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -1.29 54.66
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 3.53 0.10
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 63.44 38.63
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 38.58 5.40
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 64.97 2.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 156.85 42.60
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 179.94 243.85
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 76.90 5.41
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 10.32 31.59
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 0.54
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.03 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.21
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.33 20.57
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.54 -60.94
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.54 -60.94
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 115.50 35.32
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 74.95 12.98
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 45.42 3.50
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 42.91
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 34.60 1.24