TRX GOLD Corp (NYSE: TRX)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Gold CIK: 0001173643
Market Cap 78.86 Mn
P/B 1.47
P/E 20.05
P/S 1.12
ROIC (Qtr) -4.64
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 100.49
Total Debt (Qtr) 4.56 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.08

About

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.92M provides robust 3.93x coverage of total debt 4.56M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 9.16M provide 5.24x coverage of short-term debt 1.75M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 129.55M provides 28.41x coverage of total debt 4.56M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 129.55M provide exceptional 31.36x coverage of deferred revenue 4.13M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.92M provides 2.18x coverage of SG&A expenses 8.22M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.92M barely covers its investment activities of (14.68M), with a coverage ratio of -1.22, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Free cash flow of 4.22M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 13.70M, with a 0.31 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.92M provides minimal 1.60x coverage of tax expenses of 11.23M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 4.22M represents just -72.81x of debt issuance (58000), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.92M shows concerning coverage of minority interest expenses of 8.39M, which is 2.13x, suggesting complex corporate structure risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Gold
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NEM NEWMONT Corp /DE/ 92.44 Bn 45.40 7.57 5.65 Bn
2 B Barrick Mining Corp 76.96 Bn 15.41 4.54 4.70 Bn
3 WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. 61.71 Bn 61.61 33.72 0.01 Bn
4 AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd 47.57 Bn 61.82 12.38 0.34 Bn
5 FNV FRANCO NEVADA Corp 44.75 Bn 48.65 28.94 0.00 Bn
6 KGC Kinross Gold Corp 39.48 Bn 22.44 6.13 1.24 Bn
7 PAAS Pan American Silver Corp 20.12 Bn 31.73 6.18 0.86 Bn
8 AGI Alamos Gold Inc 16.77 Bn 31.14 10.42 0.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.61 3.24
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 4.37 -9.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 17.19 538.62
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 4.47 13.99
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 4.90 3.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 18.56 9.65
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.99 1.17
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.12 8.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.47 6.25
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 20.05 2.29
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 1.56
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 5.23
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 10.03
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.39 406.36
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -1.53 -97.51
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 34.99 132.70
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -5.81
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -30.00 515.87
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 51.77
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 17.88 678.32
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 16.48 143.06
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 225.30
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 553.11 181.86
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 74.94 85.33
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.54 0.26
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 3.07
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.09 4.83
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.08 0.27
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.39 406.36
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.39 406.36
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % 0.00 -19.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 24.97 -44.58
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 21.59 -34.78
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 47.50 30.79
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.60 -40.46