Latham SWIM

NASDAQ SWIM
$7.11 -0.08 (-1.11%)
As of: Aug 20, 2026 · 3:59 PM EDT
Financial Ratios
Market Cap832.32 Mn
P/E156.28
P/S1.44
Div. Yield0.00
ROIC (Qtr)0.00
Total Debt (Qtr)283.06 Mn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)14.39
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About

Latham Group, Inc. is the largest designer, manufacturer, and marketer of in ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand, offering a broad portfolio that includes pools, covers, and liners. The company has operated for over 70 years, building a heritage of innovation in the pool industry. Its mission centers on designing and manufacturing high quality pool products with the homeowner in mind while serving as a value added partner to its…

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Sector: Industrials Sector rationale Latham Group designs and manufactures capital goods—specifically in-ground swimming pools, covers, and liners—which are sold to a network of independent dealers and distributors. According to the sector definitions, companies that manufacture building products and components belong in Industrials, and the company's revenue model is based on the production and B2B sale of these physical products. Industry: Building Products Industrials Primary Latham designs and manufactures finished building products installed in residential structures, specifically in-ground swimming pools, pool covers, and pool liners. These products are sold through a network of independent dealers and distributors for installation at residential homeowner sites. Classified using BQ-MICS CIK: 0001833197

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • SWIM's Sand States strategy is poised to capture significant untapped market share as fiberglass pool penetration remains low in high-growth Sunbelt regions like Florida despite strong underlying demand for durable, low-maintenance pools. The company is actively expanding its commercial organization with dedicated sales strategy, operations, and execution teams to target high-potential neighborhoods based on home values, lot sizes, and household incomes, while increasing field sales resources to support dealers in converting leads. Early neighborhood-level segmentation testing is showing promise, and combined with targeted marketing campaigns featuring Bode Miller and localized activations, this approach is building consumer awareness and attachment rates for fiberglass pools and auto covers, positioning SWIM to gain share in a structurally growing category where it is already the U.S. market leader.
  • The Freedom Pools acquisition, closed February 26, 2026, is delivering immediate accretive value and expanding SWIM's geographic footprint into Australia, New Zealand, and Western Australia—including Perth, the fastest-growing city in Australia—where fiberglass pool adoption is already strong. Management confirmed the integration is proceeding as planned, with teams from Narellan and Freedom recently collaborating in Australia to unlock revenue synergies from combining Narellan's brand strength with Freedom's direct-to-consumer model and local manufacturing presence. This acquisition not only expands SWIM's global footprint but also provides firsthand experience in a mature fiberglass market, offering transferable insights for accelerating fiberglass adoption in North America and enhancing long-term international growth prospects.
  • SWIM's lean manufacturing and value engineering initiatives delivered a $2.0 million P&L benefit in Q1 2026, driving a 220 basis point gross margin expansion to 32% despite inflationary pressures, with these initiatives continuing to generate ongoing efficiencies. Combined with temporary fuel surcharges mitigating approximately 60 basis points of transportation cost pressure from high oil prices, the company has effectively mitigated near-term input cost headwinds while maintaining its full-year 2026 guidance of 9% revenue growth and 13% adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint. Early seasonal order trends in April and May are strong and in line with historical seasonal ramps, supporting management's confidence in guidance amid flat U.S. pool starts, as improved order trends and seasonal ramp visibility support confidence in achieving full-year targets despite a soft Q1 impacted by adverse weather.
▼ Bear case
  • SWIM's Sand States strategy, while strategically sound, faces significant execution risk due to intense local competition in Florida and other Sunbelt markets, where dealers report receiving four or five quotes per job—a sign of severe market saturation and intense price competition that could erode margins despite the company's segmentation and sales resource investments. Management acknowledges the uncertainty in consumer financing and market saturation as headwinds, and while they are adding sales resources and refining neighborhood-level targeting, there is no evidence yet that these initiatives are improving conversion rates or dealer win rates in a highly fragmented and competitive landscape, raising doubts about the strategy's ability to drive meaningful share gains in the near term.
  • The Freedom Pools acquisition, while immediately accretive and expanding SWIM's footprint into Australia, New Zealand, and Western Australia, carries integration and synergy realization risks that management may be underestimating, particularly given the cultural and operational differences between integrating Narellan's established dealer network and Freedom's direct-to-consumer model in Australia. Management acknowledged spending only one week in Australia to bring teams together, suggesting limited depth in integration planning, and while they anticipate revenue synergies over time, there is no concrete timeline or measurable milestones provided, increasing the risk that synergies are delayed or fall short of expectations, especially if direct-to-consumer models face resistance in established dealer-centric markets.
  • SWIM's reliance on temporary fuel surcharges to offset approximately 60 basis points of annual transportation cost pressure from high oil prices introduces earnings volatility and consumer resistance risk, particularly if surcharges are perceived as temporary fixes that erode value perception or if oil prices remain volatile beyond the current guidance period. Additionally, the company remains exposed to unresolved commodity cost risks—particularly in resins and HDPE—with CFO Oliver Gloe explicitly stating it is 'too early to tell' on impacts and that they are 'just about to start ordering materials,' leaving margin vulnerability unaddressed in current guidance despite last year's mid-season June price increase serving as a precedent for potential margin pressure if cost inflation persists and passthrough becomes necessary mid-season.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

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4 MAS Masco Corp /De/ 14.62 Bn15.601.923.25 Bn
5 CSL Carlisle Companies Inc 14.41 Bn19.892.832.89 Bn
6 LII Lennox International Inc 14.06 Bn17.832.651.17 Bn
7 OC Owens Corning 11.84 Bn-17.731.206.06 Bn
8 WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 10.91 Bn24.153.391.61 Bn