System1, Inc. (NYSE: SST)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Specialty Business Services CIK: 0001805833
Market Cap 24.69 Mn
P/B 0.58
P/E -0.37
P/S 0.09
ROIC (Qtr) -17.40
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -30.70
Total Debt (Qtr) 262.70 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 6.15
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About

System1, Inc., also known as SST, is a leading omnichannel customer acquisition platform in the digital advertising industry. The company operates through its proprietary Responsive Acquisition Marketing Platform (RAMP), which enables it to process an impressive 187 million daily advertising campaign optimizations and ingest over 7 billion rows of data across approximately 40 advertising vertical categories. System1's primary business activities revolve around acquiring user traffic through its owned and operated websites and partnerships with network...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 55.83M provide 2.25x coverage of short-term debt 24.80M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 121.87M provides 8.41x coverage of working capital 14.49M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Cash reserves of 55.83M provide solid 5.13x coverage of other non-current liabilities 10.88M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash position of 55.83M represents healthy 3.85x of working capital 14.49M, demonstrating strong operational liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 55.83M provide comfortable 11.98x coverage of tax obligations 4.66M, showing strong fiscal management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 7.26M barely covers its investment activities of (6.39M), with a coverage ratio of -1.14, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 7.26M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 19.30M, with a 0.38 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (40.21M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 84.08M, with a -0.48 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 7.26M provides minimal -2.27x coverage of tax expenses of (3.21M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 1.15M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 6.11M, with a 0.19 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Business Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CTAS Cintas Corp 120.08 Bn 556.91 33.85 3.24 Bn
2 RELX Relx Plc 56.19 Bn 20.01 4.34 9.82 Bn
3 TRI Thomson Reuters Corp /Can/ 37.42 Bn 24.91 5.00 2.44 Bn
4 CPRT Copart Inc 36.25 Bn 22.74 7.79 0.10 Bn
5 RBA Rb Global Inc. 19.20 Bn 49.09 4.24 4.21 Bn
6 ULS UL Solutions Inc. 14.12 Bn 43.32 4.92 0.74 Bn
7 GPN Global Payments Inc 11.52 Bn 284.78 8.66 16.20 Bn
8 ARMK Aramark 10.37 Bn 32.72 0.55 6.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.59 2.48
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 31.28 30.22
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.86 31.08
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -5.65 94.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.24 18.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 197.71 -20.73
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 9.20 178.66
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.78 8.12
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.58 5.37
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.37 65.19
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -15,800.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 10.14
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.35
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.65
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -1.39 30.46
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -0.84 -178.22
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -23.75 155.14
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 5.38
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 30.90 -34.92
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 292.89 -86.28
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 33.85 -22.62
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 28.29 -287.35
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 30.48 -118.47
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 103.72 -146.43
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.60 2.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 0.84
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 -0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.55 1.15
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.14 4.12
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 6.15 0.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -1.39 30.46
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -1.39 30.46
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.10 -33.89
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -13.88 -43.32
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -23.89 -44.88
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 42.70 39.81
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -22.80 -41.60