Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Footwear & Accessories CIK: 0000913241
Market Cap 3.09 Bn
P/B 3.87
P/E 20.97
P/S 1.88
ROIC (Qtr) 5.40
Div Yield % 1.67
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.92
Total Debt (Qtr) 540.24 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.63
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About

Steven Madden, Ltd., often recognized by its stock symbol SHOO, operates in the fashion industry as a leading designer, marketer, and distributor of branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel. The company's reach extends to over 2,000 retailers across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, and other regions through joint ventures. Steven Madden's offerings include dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, and casual shoes under a diverse range of brands such as Steve Madden, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 174.92M provides exceptional 29.68x coverage of minority interest expenses 5.89M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.92M provides exceptional 20.01x coverage of interest expenses 8.74M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.45B provides 2.68x coverage of total debt 540.24M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 133.32M exceeds capital expenditure of 41.61M by 3.20x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash position of 108.72M provides exceptional 18.45x coverage of minority interest expenses 5.89M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 174.92M barely covers its investment activities of (415.64M), with a coverage ratio of -0.42, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 108.72M against inventory of 476.03M, the 0.23 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.92M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (60.85M) with a -2.87 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 108.72M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (381.27M), which is -0.29x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.92M barely covers operating expenses of (4.97M) with a -35.20 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Operating Activities Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Footwear & Accessories
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NKE NIKE, Inc. 102.70 Bn 16.79 2.19 11.28 Bn
2 DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp 17.19 Bn 16.53 3.20 0.34 Bn
3 ONON On Holding AG 15.16 Bn 54.10 4.22 0.70 Bn
4 BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc 7.69 Bn 17.26 3.06 1.60 Bn
5 CROX Crocs, Inc. 5.41 Bn -66.61 1.34 1.61 Bn
6 SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. 3.09 Bn 20.97 1.88 0.54 Bn
7 WWW Wolverine World Wide Inc /De/ 1.51 Bn 5,036.30 0.64 0.82 Bn
8 DBI Designer Brands Inc. 0.54 Bn 5.74 0.16 1.27 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.48 1.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 21.12 -0.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.47 9.63
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.04 21.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.67 14.01
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 22.02 8.68
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.96 9,104.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.80 1.67
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.87 4.14
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 20.97 370.30
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.92 0.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 105.00 23.91
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.84 0.48
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.68 23.35
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 11.07 1,232.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -87.31 -9,479.73
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -22.02 169.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 12.97
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -63.25 201.84
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -48.69 -2.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -55.32 -16.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -59.86 -18.47
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -66.53 -108.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -40.35 -23.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.33 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.18 1.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.28 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.19 0.65
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.91 2.40
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.63 2.49
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 11.07 1,232.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 11.07 1,232.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.40 -17.47
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.10 -21.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.73 -24.45
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 40.80 44.08
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.40 -26.77