NIKE, Inc. (NYSE: NKE)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Footwear & Accessories CIK: 0000320187
Market Cap 102.70 Bn
P/B 6.94
P/E 16.79
P/S 2.19
ROIC (Qtr) 9.67
Div Yield % 2.42
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.59
Total Debt (Qtr) 11.28 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80
Add ratio to table...

About

NIKE, Inc., popularly recognized by its stock symbol NKE, is a global leader in the design, development, and sale of athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment. The company's operations span across various channels, including NIKE-owned retail stores, wholesale accounts, and digital platforms. With its headquarters in Beaverton, Oregon, NIKE has established itself as the largest seller of athletic footwear and apparel worldwide. The company's primary business activities encompass the creation of innovative and high-quality products designed to cater...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 6.97B provide 4.61x coverage of short-term debt 1.51B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 37.29B provides 3.31x coverage of total debt 11.28B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 2.48B exceeds capital expenditure of 581M by 4.26x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 37.29B provides 3.01x coverage of working capital 12.38B, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 37.29B provide robust 5.82x coverage of other current liabilities 6.41B, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 3.06B barely covers its investment activities of (143M), with a coverage ratio of -21.37, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.06B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.37B) with a -1.29 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 3.06B shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 695M, with a 4.40 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 2.48B represents just -2.36x of debt issuance (1.05B), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.06B is outpaced by equity issuance of (411M) (-7.44 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2018)

Subsegments Breakdown of Revenue (2018)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Footwear & Accessories
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NKE NIKE, Inc. 102.70 Bn 16.79 2.19 11.28 Bn
2 DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp 17.19 Bn 16.53 3.20 0.34 Bn
3 ONON On Holding AG 15.16 Bn 54.10 4.22 0.70 Bn
4 BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc 7.69 Bn 17.26 3.06 1.60 Bn
5 CROX Crocs, Inc. 5.41 Bn -66.61 1.34 1.61 Bn
6 SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. 3.09 Bn 20.97 1.88 0.54 Bn
7 WWW Wolverine World Wide Inc /De/ 1.51 Bn 5,036.30 0.64 0.82 Bn
8 DBI Designer Brands Inc. 0.54 Bn 5.74 0.16 1.27 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.77 1.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 17.30 -0.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 9.28 9.63
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.22 21.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.28 14.01
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 19.53 8.68
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 9,104.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.24 1.67
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.94 4.14
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 16.79 370.30
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.06 0.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 93.00 23.91
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.61 0.48
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 96.23 23.35
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -45.01 1,232.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.65 -9,479.73
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -12.60 169.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.62 12.97
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -47.93 201.84
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -39.21 -2.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -46.91 -16.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -47.33 -18.47
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -47.08 -108.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -55.15 -23.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -12.41 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.23 1.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.65 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.60 0.65
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.06 2.40
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80 2.49
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -45.01 1,232.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -45.01 1,232.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.20 -17.47
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 6.48 -21.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.63 -24.45
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 41.10 44.08
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.40 -26.77