Safety Insurance Group Inc (NASDAQ: SAFT)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0001172052
Market Cap 1.22 Bn
P/B 1.45
P/E 10.72
P/S 1.46
ROIC (Qtr) 9.46
Div Yield % 5.62
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.61
Total Debt (Qtr) 42.63 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.05
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About

Safety Insurance Group Inc, or SAFT, operates exclusively in the insurance industry, specifically in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine. The company offers a range of insurance products through its subsidiaries, Safety Insurance Company, Safety Indemnity Insurance Company, Safety Property and Casualty Insurance Company, and Safety Northeast Insurance Company. SAFT's primary business activities revolve around providing private passenger automobile, commercial automobile, and homeowners insurance, as well as business owner policies, personal...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 171.37M provides robust 4.02x coverage of total debt 42.63M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 171.37M provides exceptional 156.36x coverage of interest expenses 1.10M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 171.37M provides strong 36.81x coverage of stock compensation 4.66M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 170.81M exceeds capital expenditure of 555000 by 307.77x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.43B provides 56.91x coverage of total debt 42.63M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 171.37M barely covers its investment activities of (124.09M), with a coverage ratio of -1.38, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 171.37M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (53.65M) with a -3.19 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Retained earnings of 837.51M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (22.39M), which is -37.41x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 327.94M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Cash position of 56.23M provides minimal 0.17x coverage of SG&A expenses of 327.94M, indicating potential operational inflexibility in market downturns.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.50 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.38 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 28.95 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 8.64 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.92 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 11.47 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.48 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.45 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 10.72 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.63 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 61.50 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.62 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 31.25 37.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 102.63 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 87.91 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -10.17 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.56 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 17.10 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 13.15 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 17.12 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 16.60 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 16.40 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 57.10 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 13.30 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.50 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.31 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.05 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 102.63 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 102.63 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 9.70 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.14 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.05 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 36.40 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 7.10 9.63