Runway Growth Finance Corp. (NASDAQ: RWAY)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0001653384
Market Cap 334.69 Mn
P/B 0.68
P/E 6.10
P/S 2.37
ROIC (Qtr) 10.07
Div Yield % 20.22
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.26
Total Debt (Qtr) 443.51 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.91

About

Runway Growth Finance Corp., known by its ticker symbol RWAY, operates in the specialty finance industry, providing senior secured loans to high-growth potential companies across various sectors. These loans are primarily used by late-stage and growth-stage companies for sales and marketing expansion, capacity enhancement, or refinancing of existing debt. The company's operations span the origination and investment in senior secured term loans and other senior debt obligations, as well as the acquisition of warrants and other equity securities...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 179.57M provides robust 0.40x coverage of total debt 443.51M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 179.57M provides 72.67x coverage of SG&A expenses 2.47M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 179.57M provides strong 44.57x coverage of operating expenses 4.03M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 179.57M provides 72.67x coverage of SG&A expenses 2.47M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 179.57M provides solid 44.57x coverage of operating expenses 4.03M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 179.57M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (54.46M) with a -3.30 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 179.57M represents just -1.75x of debt issuance (102.54M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 179.57M is outpaced by equity issuance of (18.27M) (-9.83 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 2.47M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Cash position of 7.92M provides only 0.18x coverage of interest expenses of 43.80M, indicating potential refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.88 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 4.70 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.90 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 8.45 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.05 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 4.70 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.52 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.99 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.68 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 6.10 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.01 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 100.70 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.47 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 29.66 4.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.28 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 118.88 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 5.76 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 17.19 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -5.95 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 17.96 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 36.12 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 40.38 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 3,209.44 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -5.48 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.30 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.46
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.91 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.28 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.28 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 70.80 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 70.82 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 39.77 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 79.00 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 38.90 -23.76