Rocky Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: RCKY)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Footwear & Accessories CIK: 0000895456
Market Cap 255.19 Mn
P/B 1.94
P/E 34.61
P/S 1.04
ROIC (Qtr) 7.40
Div Yield % 1.64
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.97
Total Debt (Qtr) 141.23 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.57
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About

Rocky Brands, Inc., a prominent player in the footwear and apparel industry, operates under a collection of well-known brand names such as Rocky, Muck, Georgia Boot, Durango, XTRATUF, Lehigh, Ranger, and Michelin (RCKY). The company's operations span across six primary markets: outdoor, work, duty, commercial military, military, and western. Rocky Brands' business model is centered around three primary segments: wholesale, retail, and contract manufacturing. The wholesale segment is the most substantial contributor to the company's revenue, distributing...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 23.11M provides strong 15.07x coverage of stock compensation 1.53M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 15.90M exceeds capital expenditure of 7.20M by 2.21x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 170.65M provide full 1.28x coverage of long-term debt 132.87M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Tangible assets of 342.44M provide robust 10.55x coverage of other current liabilities 32.47M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.11M fully covers other non-current liabilities 10.89M by 2.12x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 23.11M barely covers its investment activities of (7.20M), with a coverage ratio of -3.21, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 3.32M against inventory of 193.61M, the 0.02 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.11M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (4.63M) with a -4.99 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 36.10M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 12.54M, with a 2.88 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 15.90M represents just -1.13x of debt issuance (14.10M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Footwear & Accessories
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NKE NIKE, Inc. 102.70 Bn 16.79 2.19 11.28 Bn
2 DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp 17.19 Bn 16.53 3.20 0.34 Bn
3 ONON On Holding AG 15.16 Bn 54.10 4.22 0.70 Bn
4 BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc 7.69 Bn 17.26 3.06 1.60 Bn
5 CROX Crocs, Inc. 5.41 Bn -66.61 1.34 1.61 Bn
6 SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. 3.09 Bn 20.97 1.88 0.54 Bn
7 WWW Wolverine World Wide Inc /De/ 1.51 Bn 5,036.30 0.64 0.82 Bn
8 DBI Designer Brands Inc. 0.54 Bn 5.74 0.16 1.27 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.59 1.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -119.42 -0.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.07 9.63
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 25.47 21.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.95 14.01
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -28.94 8.68
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.15 9,104.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.20 1.67
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.94 4.14
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 34.61 370.30
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.44 0.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 22.60 23.91
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.62 0.48
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 29.14 23.35
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.47 1,232.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -73.25 -9,479.73
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -10.42 169.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 12.97
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 5.20 201.84
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -2.21 -2.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -3.21 -16.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 42.26 -18.47
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 52.22 -108.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -76.14 -23.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 9.16 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.95 1.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.15 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.65
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.74 2.40
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.57 2.49
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.47 1,232.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.47 1,232.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.30 -17.47
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.68 -21.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 5.46 -24.45
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 41.00 44.08
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.40 -26.77