Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: POST)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001530950
Market Cap 5.87 Bn
P/B 1.70
P/E 18.39
P/S 0.70
ROIC (Qtr) 5.82
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.12
Total Debt (Qtr) 7.46 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.16
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About

Post Holdings, Inc., with its ticker symbol POST, is a prominent player in the consumer packaged goods industry, specializing in the center-of-the-store, refrigerated, foodservice, and food ingredient categories. The company's primary business activities involve the manufacturing, marketing, and selling of a wide array of branded and private label human and pet food products, focusing on ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals, hot cereals, peanut butter, and dog and cat food categories. Post Holdings operates through four distinct reportable segments: Post...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 284.70M provide 237.25x coverage of short-term debt 1.20M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 923.60M provides strong 10.97x coverage of stock compensation 84.20M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 923.60M provides exceptional 4618x coverage of minority interest expenses 200000, showing strong core operations.
  • Cash position of 284.70M provides exceptional 1423.50x coverage of minority interest expenses 200000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 5.18B provides 5.55x coverage of working capital 932.60M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 923.60M barely covers its investment activities of (1.03B), with a coverage ratio of -0.90, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 284.70M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (541.80M), which is -0.53x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 803.80M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 556.50M, with a 1.44 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 556.50M relative to operating cash flow of 923.60M, which is 0.60x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 923.60M is outpaced by equity issuance of (910.10M) (-1.01 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.01 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.19 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.76 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.31 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.50 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.97 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.23 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.57 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.70 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 18.39 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.11 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -2.10 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -67.47 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -5.89 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 7.56 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -2.34 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -15.48 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -10.61 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -26.05 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.36 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.64 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.90 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.16 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.11 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.11 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 16.30 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.62 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 5.06 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 28.50 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.80 -1,538.60