Old Republic International Corp (NYSE: ORI)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0000074260
Market Cap 10.25 Bn
P/B 2.57
P/E 193.45
P/S 2.59
ROIC (Qtr) 11.28
Div Yield % 7.47
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.53
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.59 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.25
Add ratio to table...

About

Old Republic International Corporation, often referred to as Old Republic, operates exclusively in the insurance underwriting and related services sector, making it a prominent player in the insurance industry. Its primary focus lies in achieving favorable underwriting results over cycles and maintaining a robust financial condition to uphold its subsidiaries' long-term obligations to policyholders and their beneficiaries. The company's main business activities span across three segments: General Insurance, Title Insurance, and Republic Financial...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.29B provides robust 0.81x coverage of total debt 1.59B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 30.25B provides 19.03x coverage of total debt 1.59B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.29B provides exceptional 234.75x coverage of minority interest expenses 5.50M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.29B provides exceptional 18.44x coverage of interest expenses 70M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Tangible assets of 30.25B provide exceptional 7.28x coverage of deferred revenue 4.15B, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.29B barely covers its investment activities of (139.10M), with a coverage ratio of -9.28, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.29B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (776.70M) with a -1.66 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.29B provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 4.15B, which is 0.31x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Tax assets of 22.60M provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 226.40M, which is 0.10x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • Free cash flow of 1.29B represents just -3.23x of debt issuance (400M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Reinsurance Premiums for Insurance Companies, by Product Segment Breakdown of Revenue (2020)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.35 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 255.47 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.62 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 224.90 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 222.05 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 255.47 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.03 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.66 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.57 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 193.45 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.07 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 91.70 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.14 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 59.56 37.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 15.94 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -53.83 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 200.00 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -10.92 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -10.46 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -10.92 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.09 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -3.93 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 11.77 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.51 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.29 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.60 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.25 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 15.94 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 15.94 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 12.80 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.75 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.95 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 62.80 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.50 9.63