Northwest Natural Holding Co (NYSE: NWN)

Sector: Utilities Industry: Utilities - Regulated Gas CIK: 0001733998
Market Cap 1.36 Bn
P/B 1.80
P/E 22.92
P/S 1.75
ROIC (Qtr) 10.30
Div Yield % 4.65
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 20.30
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.49 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.01
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About

Northwest Natural Holding Co, commonly known by its stock symbol NWN, is a company that operates primarily in the natural gas distribution industry. Its largest subsidiary, NW Natural, distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Oregon and southwest Washington. NW Natural's business is divided into two main segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NGD) and Water and Wastewater Utilities. The NGD segment is the largest and most significant segment, providing natural gas service through approximately 799,000 meters...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.79B provides 3.22x coverage of total debt 1.49B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 276.90M provides strong 2.53x coverage of inventory 109.64M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Tangible assets of 4.79B provide robust 16.70x coverage of other current liabilities 287M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 276.90M exceeds receivables of 67.45M by 4.10x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.
  • Tangible assets of 4.79B provide robust 10.17x coverage of current liabilities 471.29M, showing strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 276.90M barely covers its investment activities of (698.82M), with a coverage ratio of -0.40, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 20.27M against inventory of 109.64M, the 0.18 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 276.90M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (76.58M) with a -3.62 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 20.27M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (302.51M), which is -0.07x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of (115.40M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 392.30M, with a -0.29 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Consolidated Entities Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Utilities - Regulated Gas
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ATO Atmos Energy Corp 28.99 Bn 23.20 5.95 9.63 Bn
2 NI Nisource Inc. 14.62 Bn 27.48 3.16 16.21 Bn
3 UGI Ugi Corp /Pa/ 8.33 Bn 13.88 1.13 7.21 Bn
4 NJR New Jersey Resources Corp 5.43 Bn 16.61 2.52 3.97 Bn
5 BKH Black Hills Corp /Sd/ 5.38 Bn 18.44 2.33 4.70 Bn
6 SR Spire Inc 5.36 Bn 19.83 2.09 5.35 Bn
7 SWX Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. 5.04 Bn 19.06 1.48 3.51 Bn
8 OGS ONE Gas, Inc. 4.50 Bn 29.67 3.07 3.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.45 0.79
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 9.14 18.36
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.44 1.86
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 12.18 -126.33
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.53 11.96
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 22.09 -73.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.57 1.71
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.76 3.19
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.80 2.59
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 22.92 77.08
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.31 1.42
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 77.20 47.06
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.47 1.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -52.46 54.25
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.71 3.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -14.59 -16.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 10.93 44.73
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -25.00 -0.03
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 34.87 6.88
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 27.12 113.90
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 28.66 26.96
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 22.16 12.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 19.25 24.35
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 18.90 -146.22
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 25.96 10.16
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.26 0.36
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.11 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.15
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.79 0.94
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.01 3.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.71 3.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.71 3.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.60 32.74
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 23.84 21.43
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 15.03 13.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 38.20 43.32
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 7.90 9.98