New Jersey Resources Corp (NYSE: NJR)

Sector: Utilities Industry: Utilities - Regulated Gas CIK: 0000356309
Market Cap 5.43 Bn
P/B 2.20
P/E 16.61
P/S 2.52
ROIC (Qtr) 6.18
Div Yield % 3.42
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 23.85
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.97 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.61
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About

New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is a publicly traded company with the ticker symbol NJR, operating in the energy industry. The company's primary business activities include natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage, as well as energy efficiency programs and environmental remediation. NJR's natural gas distribution segment is the company's main revenue generator, providing regulated natural gas service to approximately 576,000 residential and commercial customers in New Jersey. This segment is subject to various risks, such as weather...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 7.90B provide exceptional 115.58x coverage of deferred revenue 68.31M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 502.03M provides strong 7.35x coverage of deferred revenue 68.31M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Tangible assets of 7.90B provide robust 46.35x coverage of other current liabilities 170.34M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Retained earnings of 1.53B provide strong 8.96x coverage of other current liabilities 170.34M, indicating earnings quality.
  • Retained earnings of 1.53B provide strong 136.75x coverage of intangibles 11.16M, indicating quality earnings retention.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 502.03M barely covers its investment activities of (728.54M), with a coverage ratio of -0.69, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 2.43M against inventory of 236.34M, the 0.01 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 502.03M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (183.03M) with a -2.74 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 502.03M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of (3.74M), with a -134.27 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (180.97M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 683M, with a -0.26 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Utilities - Regulated Gas
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ATO Atmos Energy Corp 28.99 Bn 23.20 5.95 9.63 Bn
2 NI Nisource Inc. 14.62 Bn 27.48 3.16 16.21 Bn
3 UGI Ugi Corp /Pa/ 8.33 Bn 13.88 1.13 7.21 Bn
4 NJR New Jersey Resources Corp 5.43 Bn 16.61 2.52 3.97 Bn
5 BKH Black Hills Corp /Sd/ 5.38 Bn 18.44 2.33 4.70 Bn
6 SR Spire Inc 5.36 Bn 19.83 2.09 5.35 Bn
7 SWX Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. 5.04 Bn 19.06 1.48 3.51 Bn
8 OGS ONE Gas, Inc. 4.50 Bn 29.67 3.07 3.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.16 0.79
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 18.32 18.36
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.32 1.86
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.69 -126.33
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.21 11.96
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -50.82 -73.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.69 1.71
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.27 3.19
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.20 2.59
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 16.61 77.08
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.79 1.42
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 56.70 47.06
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.85 1.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -102.95 54.25
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 4.23 3.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -60.37 -16.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 27.57 44.73
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.32 -0.03
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1.31 6.88
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 1.15 113.90
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -2.26 26.96
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -2.42 12.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -2.69 24.35
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -236.09 -146.22
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 13.55 10.16
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.36
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.15 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.83 0.94
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.61 3.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 4.23 3.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 4.23 3.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 34.80 32.74
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 25.59 21.43
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 19.54 13.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 36.50 43.32
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 15.20 9.98