Msc Industrial Direct Co Inc (NYSE: MSM)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Industrial Distribution CIK: 0001003078
Market Cap 5.87 Bn
P/B 7.71
P/E 33.87
P/S 3.47
ROIC (Qtr) 11.94
Div Yield % 1.77
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.01
Total Debt (Qtr) 580.03 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42
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About

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., often referred to as MSC Industrial, is a prominent player in the industrial distribution industry, a vast and fragmented market that includes various types of distributors, retail outlets, and manufacturers' sales forces serving maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) customers. The company's primary business activities involve the distribution of metalworking and MRO products and services. MSC Industrial operates in the United States, Canada, and other international markets, providing a broad range of products...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 261.26M provides robust 0.45x coverage of total debt 580.03M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 261.26M provides strong 19.55x coverage of stock compensation 13.37M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 261.26M provides exceptional 11.16x coverage of interest expenses 23.40M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.68B provides 2.90x coverage of total debt 580.03M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 197.97M exceeds capital expenditure of 63.28M by 3.13x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 261.26M barely covers its investment activities of (64.08M), with a coverage ratio of -4.08, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 40.25M against inventory of 660.48M, the 0.06 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 261.26M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (190.74M) with a -1.37 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 40.25M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (790000), which is -50.95x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 295.15M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 119.94M, with a 2.46 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Industrial Distribution
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. 79.03 Bn 100.02 8.17 2.72 Bn
2 FAST Fastenal Co 53.26 Bn 103.14 13.77 0.44 Bn
3 FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ 51.30 Bn 26.23 1.65 6.02 Bn
4 WCC Wesco International Inc 14.66 Bn 22.69 0.62 6.53 Bn
5 WSO Watsco Inc 14.11 Bn 154.32 4.58 0.46 Bn
6 POOL Pool Corp 12.34 Bn 638.65 8.05 1.39 Bn
7 CNM Core & Main, Inc. 10.88 Bn 25.02 1.40 2.43 Bn
8 AIT Applied Industrial Technologies Inc 10.79 Bn 28.81 2.41 0.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.41 2.41
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 20.05 40.73
EV to Debt EV to Debt 10.35 16.40
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 21.22 18.05
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.50 36.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 21.92 77.53
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 1.51
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.55 2.64
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 7.71 8.70
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 33.87 55.05
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.07 49.20
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 93.40 22.67
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.42 1.88
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 96.39 41.28
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 12.61 35.27
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 37.43 -47.49
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -29.71 77.69
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 36.25 6.21
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -13.13 -84.41
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -9.37 -13.74
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -13.67 -33.83
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -13.83 -41.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -13.06 -109.80
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -40.05 -14.68
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -0.46 1.31
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.53 1.45
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.59 0.20
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.06 0.34
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.73 2.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42 0.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 12.61 35.27
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 12.61 35.27
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.90 7.33
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.75 5.34
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 7.14 4.29
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 40.70 28.45
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.40 2.59