Mercury General Corp (NYSE: MCY)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0000064996
Market Cap 5.33 Bn
P/B 2.20
P/E 9.85
P/S 0.89
ROIC (Qtr) 19.35
Div Yield % 1.32
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.41
Total Debt (Qtr) 586.86 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24
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About

Mercury General Corporation (MERC), a prominent name in the American insurance industry, has been providing personal automobile insurance in the United States since its inception in 1961. Founded by George Joseph, who still chairs the board of directors, the company is headquartered in Los Angeles, California, and operates through its 12 insurance subsidiaries across 11 states, with a primary focus on California. Mercury General's core business activities revolve around offering a variety of insurance policies, including personal automobile, homeowners,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.09B provides robust 1.85x coverage of total debt 586.86M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 9.51B provides 16.21x coverage of total debt 586.86M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides exceptional 37.98x coverage of interest expenses 28.62M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.06B exceeds capital expenditure of 24.28M by 43.78x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Free cash flow of 1.06B provides exceptional 37.13x coverage of interest expense 28.62M, showing strong debt service ability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B barely covers its investment activities of (420.16M), with a coverage ratio of -2.59, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (70.34M) with a -15.46 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.09B provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 2.26B, which is 0.48x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Free cash flow of 1.06B represents just -774.72x of debt issuance (1.37M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 942.94M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.49 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 4.29 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 7.95 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.74 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.08 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 4.39 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.88 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.78 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.20 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.85 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 7.69 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 13.00 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.27 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 6.64 37.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 24.19 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 27.38 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 82.65 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.31 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 14.48 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 12.98 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 14.29 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 15.44 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 15.62 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 5.90 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 13.31 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.63 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.06 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 24.19 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 24.19 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 12.80 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 11.55 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.07 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 33.90 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.00 9.63