Mastercard Inc (NYSE: MA)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0001141391
Market Cap 520.38 Bn
P/B 65.84
P/E 36.52
P/S 16.53
ROIC (Qtr) 52.43
Div Yield % 0.66
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 16.73
Total Debt (Qtr) 18.98 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.40

About

Mastercard Inc., commonly known as Mastercard, is a technology company that operates in the global payments industry. By enabling electronic payments, the company connects consumers, financial institutions, merchants, governments, digital partners, businesses, and other organizations worldwide, making payment transactions safe, simple, smart, and accessible. As a leading player in the global payments industry, Mastercard operates a multi-rail payments network that provides choice and flexibility for consumers, merchants, and its customers. The...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.48B provides robust 0.92x coverage of total debt 18.98B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.48B provides strong 29.48x coverage of stock compensation 593M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.48B provides exceptional 23.40x coverage of interest expenses 747M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 16.30B exceeds capital expenditure of 1.18B by 13.88x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 81.75B provide full 4.31x coverage of long-term debt 18.98B, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.48B barely covers its investment activities of (3.62B), with a coverage ratio of -4.83, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.48B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.68B) with a -6.53 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 12.85B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (2.51B), which is -5.12x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.48B is outpaced by equity issuance of (11.44B) (-1.53 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 81.75B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (935M), which is -87.44x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 9.90 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 30.19 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 27.80 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 28.78 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 27.77 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 32.37 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.01 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 16.77 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 65.84 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 36.52 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 5.32 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 18.80 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.04 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 16.84 4.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 24.55 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.13 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -0.67 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 15.15 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 15.74 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 19.61 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 19.92 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 19.81 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 18.17 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 26.76 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.60 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.59 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.14 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.62 0.46
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.12 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.40 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 24.55 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 24.55 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 61.70 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 58.27 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 55.90 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 45.30 -23.76