Lifeway Foods, Inc. (NASDAQ: LWAY)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0000814586
Market Cap 332.91 Mn
P/B 4.02
P/E 29.84
P/S 1.63
ROIC (Qtr) 11.23
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 23.97
Total Debt (Qtr) 289,000.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00
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About

Lifeway Foods, Inc., popularly known by its stock symbol LWAY, operates in the food industry, specifically as the largest producer and marketer of kefir in the United States. The company was established in 1986 by Michael Smolyansky and has since been instrumental in introducing kefir, a cultured dairy product, to the U.S. consumer market on a commercial scale. Lifeway's primary business activities revolve around the production and marketing of kefir and other probiotic-based products. These activities extend to several countries and regions, with...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 8.10M provides robust 28.03x coverage of total debt 289000, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 91.87M provides 317.89x coverage of total debt 289000, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.10M provides exceptional 137.32x coverage of interest expenses 59000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Retained earnings of 86.14M provide full 298.06x coverage of long-term debt 289000, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 91.87M provides 3.02x coverage of working capital 30.39M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 8.10M barely covers its investment activities of (5.61M), with a coverage ratio of -1.45, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Free cash flow of (2.71M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 10.81M, with a -0.25 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 8.10M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 2.01M, with a 4.02 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 8.10M provides minimal 1.45x coverage of tax expenses of 5.59M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • High depreciation of 3.85M relative to operating cash flow of 8.10M, which is 0.48x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.85 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 38.50 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1,079.26 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 18.56 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 18.38 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -115.14 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.94 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.53 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.02 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 29.84 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 284.81 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -62.94 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 11.83 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -15.61 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -23.48 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -11.81 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.36 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -18.89 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -119.77 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 12.94 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.86 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.98 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.30 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 284.81 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 284.81 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.10 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 8.23 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.21 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 26.80 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.50 -1,538.60