Kennametal Inc (NYSE: KMT)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Tools & Accessories CIK: 0000055242
Market Cap 2.74 Bn
P/B 2.90
P/E -65.21
P/S 1.36
ROIC (Qtr) 5.46
Div Yield % 2.89
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 641.59 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50

About

Kennametal Inc., a prominent global industrial technology leader, has been delivering cutting-edge solutions to its clients for over 85 years. The company's primary business activities encompass the development and manufacturing of high-performance tooling and metal cutting products, specialty wear-resistant components, ceramics, earth cutting tools, and advanced metallurgical powders. Kennametal operates in two main segments: Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. The Metal Cutting segment is dedicated to creating and manufacturing high-performance...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 103.50M provide 7.61x coverage of short-term debt 13.60M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 180.06M provides exceptional 32.31x coverage of minority interest expenses 5.57M, showing strong core operations.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.17B provides 3.38x coverage of total debt 641.59M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Cash position of 103.50M provides exceptional 18.57x coverage of minority interest expenses 5.57M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Operating cash flow of 180.06M fully covers other non-current liabilities 168.36M by 1.07x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 180.06M barely covers its investment activities of (64.58M), with a coverage ratio of -2.79, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 103.50M against inventory of 565.19M, the 0.18 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 180.06M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (61.41M) with a -2.93 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 153.56M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 137.98M, with a 1.11 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 94.62M represents just -2490.05x of debt issuance (38000), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Tools & Accessories
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SNA Snap-on Inc 20.02 Bn 28.87 4.92 1.27 Bn
2 LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc 17.42 Bn 75.52 7.45 1.24 Bn
3 RBC RBC Bearings INC 15.55 Bn 60.25 9.02 1.13 Bn
4 SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. 13.98 Bn 21.92 1.48 6.61 Bn
5 TTC Toro Co 9.58 Bn 35.83 2.93 1.04 Bn
6 TKR Timken Co 6.56 Bn 22.05 1.44 2.21 Bn
7 KMT Kennametal Inc 2.74 Bn -65.21 1.36 0.64 Bn
8 HLMN Hillman Solutions Corp. 1.87 Bn 49.85 1.22 0.78 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.32 1.90
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 20.86 27.82
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.20 8.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 34.91 25.35
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.08 17.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 77.38 44.85
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.22 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.66 3.33
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.90 5.09
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -65.21 24.47
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.54 24.32
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 64.50 34.31
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.80 1.81
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 64.36 31.22
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.19 7.73
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 12.85 21.04
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -13.46 0.94
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 33.33 -8.38
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -7.43 56.68
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -3.96 -4.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -2.95 76.64
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -2.49 235.45
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -3.12 92.02
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -52.48 -578.67
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -2.21 0.18
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.79 0.84
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.23 0.18
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.26 0.44
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.60 2.94
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50 0.52
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.19 7.73
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.19 7.73
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.70 14.51
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.74 10.07
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.49 8.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 30.30 33.67
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.80 6.02