Kaiser Aluminum Corp (NASDAQ: KALU)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Aluminum CIK: 0000811596
Market Cap 2.69 Bn
P/B 2.48
P/E 28.98
P/S 2.02
ROIC (Qtr) 6.63
Div Yield % 1.33
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.81
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.07 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.32
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About

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, a Delaware corporation (Kaiser), is a prominent player in the manufacturing and supply of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products. Operating in the aerospace, automotive, packaging, and general engineering industries, Kaiser caters to blue-chip companies and tier one suppliers. The company's main business activities involve producing high-quality, engineered products that meet the stringent specifications of its customers. Kaiser Aluminum's operations span across various countries and regions, with its primary...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 175.40M provides strong 10.57x coverage of stock compensation 16.60M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 2.53B provide robust 23.46x coverage of other current liabilities 107.90M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.53B provides 3.40x coverage of working capital 743.50M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Retained earnings of 127.10M provide strong 2.09x coverage of intangibles 60.90M, indicating quality earnings retention.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.53B provides 41.56x coverage of intangibles 60.90M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 175.40M barely covers its investment activities of (145.70M), with a coverage ratio of -1.20, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 17.20M against inventory of 702.30M, the 0.02 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 175.40M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (51.20M) with a -3.43 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 23.70M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 151.70M, with a 0.16 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 165.10M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 115.80M, with a 1.43 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Aluminum
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AA Alcoa Corp 10.68 Bn 24.77 1.02 2.58 Bn
2 CENX Century Aluminum Co 4.58 Bn 56.85 1.81 0.62 Bn
3 CSTM Constellium Se 3.26 Bn 27.09 0.41 2.01 Bn
4 KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corp 2.69 Bn 28.98 2.02 1.07 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.08 1.27
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 22.61 65.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.62 4.40
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.18 20.60
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 15.22 12.52
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 35.13 -28.70
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.04 1.19
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.10 1.45
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.48 3.83
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 28.98 34.42
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.79 7.48
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 54.40 15.80
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.08 0.87
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 210.38 57.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.55 4.59
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -6.83 8.66
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -62.36 64.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 33.33 8.33
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 43.54 -20.79
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 29.49 74.83
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 46.11 279.91
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 73.90 2,644.71
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 70.48 88.41
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -57.68 35.98
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 16.18 40.71
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.24 1.18
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.16 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.49 1.76
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.32 1.24
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.55 4.59
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.55 4.59
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.80 10.48
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 5.14 6.61
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.70 5.14
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 12.40 14.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.80 4.10