Century Aluminum Co (NASDAQ: CENX)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Aluminum CIK: 0000949157
Market Cap 4.58 Bn
P/B 6.17
P/E 56.85
P/S 1.81
ROIC (Qtr) 14.63
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 17.27
Total Debt (Qtr) 618.50 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.83
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About

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is a global producer of primary aluminum, with operations in the United States and Iceland. The company's primary aluminum reduction facilities produce standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products, with a current annual production capacity of approximately 1,016,000 tonnes per year. Century Aluminum's main business activities involve the production and sale of primary aluminum products, including standard-grade and value-added products such as billet, foundry alloys, and ingot. The primary aluminum market...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.13B provides 3.45x coverage of total debt 618.50M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 2.13B provide robust 13.05x coverage of other current liabilities 163.50M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 152.80M provide ample 5.44x coverage of acquisition spending 28.10M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.13B provides 4.99x coverage of working capital 428M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Cash reserves of 152.80M provide comfortable 2.18x coverage of tax obligations 70.10M, showing strong fiscal management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 40.80M barely covers its investment activities of (50.20M), with a coverage ratio of -0.81, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 152.80M against inventory of 556.70M, the 0.27 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 40.80M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 14.20M, with a 2.87 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (37.50M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 78.30M, with a -0.48 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of 40.80M provides minimal -68x coverage of tax expenses of (600000), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Aluminum
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AA Alcoa Corp 10.68 Bn 24.77 1.02 2.58 Bn
2 CENX Century Aluminum Co 4.58 Bn 56.85 1.81 0.62 Bn
3 CSTM Constellium Se 3.26 Bn 27.09 0.41 2.01 Bn
4 KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corp 2.69 Bn 28.98 2.02 1.07 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.35 1.27
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 123.08 65.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 8.12 4.40
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 37.81 20.60
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.85 12.52
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -133.91 -28.70
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 1.19
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.99 1.45
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.17 3.83
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 56.85 34.42
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 17.13 7.48
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 15.80
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.87
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 57.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.76 4.59
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 20.99 8.66
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 331.64 64.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 8.33
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -62.92 -20.79
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 36.39 74.83
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -64.25 279.91
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -74.46 2,644.71
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -73.86 88.41
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -130.06 35.98
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 52.06 40.71
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.18 1.18
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.26 0.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.71 1.76
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.83 1.24
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.76 4.59
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.76 4.59
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.40 10.48
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 5.26 6.61
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.35 5.14
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 9.50 14.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.20 4.10