Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE: JMIA)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Internet Retail CIK: 0001756708
Market Cap 1.31 Bn
P/B 31.41
P/E -15.75
P/S 6.43
ROIC (Qtr) -105.57
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 32.62
Total Debt (Qtr) 14.74 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.35

About

Jumia Technologies AG, commonly known by its stock symbol JMIA, is a leading e-commerce platform operating in Africa. With a presence in 11 countries that account for nearly 70% of Africa's GDP, Jumia is dedicated to enhancing the quality of everyday life in Africa through innovative and affordable online services. Jumia's business model is built around a marketplace, logistics service, and payment service. The marketplace serves as a bridge between sellers and customers, offering a vast array of products across various categories such as phones,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 95.86M provide 18.91x coverage of short-term debt 5.07M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 169.72M provides 11.51x coverage of total debt 14.74M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 169.72M provide exceptional 31.57x coverage of deferred revenue 5.38M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (3.41M) by 25.11x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 169.72M provides 7.15x coverage of working capital 23.75M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) barely covers its investment activities of 90.01M, with a coverage ratio of -0.95, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 5.38M, which is -15.92x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (85.57M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 5.54M, with a -15.44 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (90.96M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 5.40M, with a -16.86 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (85.57M) provides minimal -27.05x coverage of tax expenses of 3.16M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Products and services [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Internet Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AMZN Amazon Com Inc 2,240.82 Bn 28.85 3.13 152.99 Bn
2 BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 376.37 Bn 21.36 2.65 39.55 Bn
3 PDD PDD Holdings Inc. 146.78 Bn 10.22 2.50 1.50 Bn
4 MELI Mercadolibre Inc 99.88 Bn 48.09 3.81 9.88 Bn
5 DASH DoorDash, Inc. 77.19 Bn 89.45 6.11 3.26 Bn
6 SE Sea Ltd 64.15 Bn 45.22 3.05 4.24 Bn
7 JD JD.com, Inc. 40.42 Bn 8.94 0.22 15.74 Bn
8 EBAY Ebay Inc 40.35 Bn 18.49 3.77 7.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 7.33 1.44
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -14.54 10.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 84.39 11.03
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -17.69 18.24
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -17.10 16.97
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -13.67 15.91
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.95 -40.94
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.10 -2.40
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 31.41 5.28
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -15.75 32.69
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -93.84
Dividend Payout Ratio % Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 -203.90
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -3.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -7.17 37.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -99.91 -39.22
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.53 58.76
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -29.78 -370.47
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -45.34 -113.32
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -23.68 -1,110.85
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 26.52 -130.57
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS Growth (1y) % 0.00 2.19
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -89.47 -50.73
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.04 0.67
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.41 1.16
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 -0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.82 2.15
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.20 3.66
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.35 0.49
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -7.17 37.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -7.17 37.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -29.80 3.67
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -29.32 -28.93
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -39.30 -42.42
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 52.80 44.90
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -40.90 -42.23