Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE: JMIA)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Internet Retail CIK: 0001756708
Market Cap 1.01 Bn
P/B 32.80
P/E -14.00
P/S 4.56
ROIC (Qtr) -132.85
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 51.77
Total Debt (Qtr) 13.79 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.45
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About

Jumia Technologies AG, commonly known by its stock symbol JMIA, is a leading e-commerce platform operating in Africa. With a presence in 11 countries that account for nearly 70% of Africa's GDP, Jumia is dedicated to enhancing the quality of everyday life in Africa through innovative and affordable online services. Jumia's business model is built around a marketplace, logistics service, and payment service. The marketplace serves as a bridge between sellers and customers, offering a vast array of products across various categories such as phones,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 90.20M provide 20.21x coverage of short-term debt 4.46M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of (56.38M) provides exceptional 4356.36x coverage of minority interest expenses (12941.18), showing strong core operations.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 157.12M provides 11.39x coverage of total debt 13.79M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 157.12M provide exceptional 27.64x coverage of deferred revenue 5.68M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of (56.38M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (4.68M) by 12.04x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (56.38M) barely covers its investment activities of 88.98M, with a coverage ratio of -0.63, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of (56.38M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 5.68M, which is -9.92x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (56.38M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 5.42M, with a -10.41 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (61.80M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 5.42M, with a -11.40 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (56.38M) provides minimal -33.89x coverage of tax expenses of 1.66M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Products and services [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Internet Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AMZN Amazon Com Inc 2,143.12 Bn 27.59 2.99 152.99 Bn
2 BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 359.97 Bn 20.43 2.53 39.55 Bn
3 PDD PDD Holdings Inc. 142.04 Bn 9.89 2.42 1.50 Bn
4 EBAY Ebay Inc 102.21 Bn -123.00 9.66 7.02 Bn
5 MELI Mercadolibre Inc 100.15 Bn 48.22 3.82 9.88 Bn
6 DASH DoorDash, Inc. 68.68 Bn 79.58 5.44 3.26 Bn
7 SE Sea Ltd 64.13 Bn 45.21 3.05 4.24 Bn
8 JD JD.com, Inc. 39.35 Bn 8.70 0.21 15.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 6.02 1.35
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -16.79 9.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 68.64 9.27
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -14.90 17.25
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -14.54 16.40
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -15.32 14.98
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.93 -49.25
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.26 -2.91
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 32.80 5.14
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -14.00 26.71
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -93.84
Dividend Payout Ratio % Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 -203.90
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -3.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -8.78 37.28
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -55.51 -38.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 56.42 60.19
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -4.72 -369.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -8.26 -112.37
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -3.93 -1,110.34
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 30.37 -130.47
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS Growth (1y) % 0.00 2.19
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 2.02 -48.38
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.50 1.43
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.66 1.16
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 -0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.77 2.15
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.14 3.66
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.45 0.50
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -8.78 37.28
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -8.78 37.28
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -24.40 3.81
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -24.29 -28.80
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -31.83 -42.22
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 53.90 44.93
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -32.60 -42.02