Ingredion Inc (NYSE: INGR)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001046257
Market Cap 8.38 Bn
P/B 2.75
P/E 15.65
P/S 1.34
ROIC (Qtr) 13.52
Div Yield % 2.68
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.39
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.79 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42
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About

Ingredion Incorporated, known by its ticker symbol INGR, is a prominent global ingredients solutions provider that specializes in transforming grains, fruits, vegetables, and other plant-based materials into valuable ingredient solutions for various markets, including food, beverage, animal nutrition, brewing, and industrial sectors. The company's innovative ingredient solutions cater to the growing demand for simple and other in-demand ingredients, thereby helping customers stay abreast of current trends. Ingredion's primary business activities...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 944M provides robust 0.53x coverage of total debt 1.79B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.03B provide 21.46x coverage of short-term debt 48M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 6.63B provides 3.70x coverage of total debt 1.79B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 944M provides exceptional 134.86x coverage of minority interest expenses 7M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 944M provides exceptional 25.51x coverage of interest expenses 37M, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 944M barely covers its investment activities of (444M), with a coverage ratio of -2.13, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 944M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (211M) with a -4.47 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 511M represents just -11.61x of debt issuance (44M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 944M barely covers operating expenses of (3M) with a -314.67 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Retained earnings of 5.61B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (937M), which is -5.99x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.22 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.24 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.39 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.59 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.33 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 21.38 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.15 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.54 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.75 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 15.65 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.45 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 28.30 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.24 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 40.70 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 27.14 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -46.78 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 3.31 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.53 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 12.25 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 12.85 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 4.26 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 4.65 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 14.98 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -55.21 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.07 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.91 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.15 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.78 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.66 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 27.14 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 27.14 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 17.00 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 13.91 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.40 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.30 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 10.10 -1,538.60