Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Financial Data & Stock Exchanges CIK: 0001571949
Market Cap 96.76 Bn
P/B 3.35
P/E 29.19
P/S 7.65
ROIC (Qtr) 8.17
Div Yield % 1.14
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.70
Total Debt (Qtr) 20.28 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.70

About

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), a company with the ticker symbol ICE, operates in the financial services industry. Specifically, it is a leading operator of global exchanges, clearing houses, and provider of market data and connectivity services. The company's diverse range of businesses includes the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the largest and most liquid stock exchange in the world, as well as several other exchanges such as the ICE Futures exchanges, which provide trading platforms for a variety of financial and commodity products. ICE...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 90.89B provides 4.48x coverage of total debt 20.28B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.66B provides strong 19.59x coverage of stock compensation 238M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.66B provides exceptional 84.76x coverage of minority interest expenses 55M, showing strong core operations.
  • Tangible assets of 90.89B provide exceptional 445.53x coverage of deferred revenue 204M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 3.87B exceeds capital expenditure of 791M by 4.89x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.66B barely covers its investment activities of (4.25B), with a coverage ratio of -1.10, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.66B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.10B) with a -4.22 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.82B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (19M), which is -96.05x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 3.87B represents just -5.09x of debt issuance (760M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 20.28B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (224M), which is -90.54x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Timing of Transfer of Good or Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CME Cme Group Inc. 108.31 Bn 56.60 23.47 152.46 Bn
2 MCO Moodys Corp /De/ 106.86 Bn 244.59 56.48 7.36 Bn
3 SPGI S&P Global Inc. 105.67 Bn 43.02 13.77 11.87 Bn
4 ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 96.76 Bn 29.19 7.65 20.28 Bn
5 NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. 49.34 Bn 112.66 15.25 9.55 Bn
6 MSCI MSCI Inc. 42.66 Bn 35.48 13.61 6.31 Bn
7 COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. 41.84 Bn 13.00 5.45 7.59 Bn
8 CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. 28.66 Bn 29.30 6.21 1.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.83 2.21
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.46 43.43
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.62 7.86
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.39 35.32
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 17.58 31.71
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.46 -19.56
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.18 1.38
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 9.02 24.41
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.35 -8.37
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 29.19 62.31
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.00 2.12
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 33.20 32.41
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.92 2.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 28.37 26.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.34 8.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -5.19 -8.40
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -22.47 24.23
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.67 1.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 13.93 10.48
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 11.00 15.08
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 13.45 17.37
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 19.86 21.15
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 20.63 30.92
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 0.36 30.86
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 7.03 13.71
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 0.61
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.20 0.24
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.51
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.02 1.98
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.70 0.60
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.34 8.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.34 8.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 52.60 -985.10
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 40.30 -991.86
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 33.95 -1,071.03
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 78.60 72.64
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 26.20 -1,440.91