Cboe Global Markets
CBOE: CBOE
$285.08 ▲ +3.06  (+1.09%)
At close: Jul 23, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap30.13 Bn
P/E24.51
P/S6.29
Div. Yield0.01
Total Debt (Qtr)1.44 Bn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)6.51
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About

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. operates as a leading global derivatives and securities exchange network. The company provides cutting edge trading clearing and investment solutions across equities derivatives and foreign exchange markets in North America Europe and Asia Pacific. It runs the largest options exchange and the third largest equities exchange operator in the United States. Through subsidiaries such as Cboe Europe Equities Cboe Clear Europe BIDS Holdings Cboe Australia…

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Sector: Financial Services Industry: Financial Data & Stock Exchanges CIK: 0001374310

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • The SEC approval for extended trading hours on select single name options creates a new avenue for revenue growth that the market may not fully price in. By offering pre market and post market sessions for high liquidity names such as the Magnificent Seven stocks Cboe can capture trading activity that currently occurs off exchange or in fragmented venues. This initiative aligns with the broader trend toward near 24 hour five day trading in equities and should increase options contract volume especially from Asia Pacific participants. The incremental volume is expected to raise net revenue per contract and improve overall operating leverage.
  • Management raised its organic net revenue growth outlook for the full year to the low double digit to mid teens range reflecting stronger than expected demand for its data and analytics offerings. The Data Vantage segment has shown consistent year over year growth driven by increased consumption of real time market data feeds and proprietary analytics tools. This upward revision suggests that the market may be underestimating the recurring and high margin nature of the data business which benefits from sticky customer contracts and minimal incremental cost to serve. As a result the contribution of Data Vantage to overall profitability could expand faster than current consensus estimates.
  • The announced sale of Cboe Canada and Cboe Australia for three hundred million dollars removes lower growth equity exchange businesses from the portfolio and generates proceeds that can be redeployed into higher margin initiatives. Management has indicated plans to invest in emerging areas such as prediction markets tokenization and expanded clearing capabilities in the United States and Europe. By shedding non core assets the company can sharpen its focus on derivatives and data businesses that have demonstrated stronger volume and revenue trends. This reallocation of capital is likely to accelerate earnings growth and improve return on invested capital beyond what analysts currently model.
  • The introduction of daily expiring options on the Dow Jones Industrial Average index and the forthcoming launch of a prediction market framework based on the Mini S&P 500 Index address growing retail demand for short dated and flexible trading tools. These products are designed to attract increased participation from individual investors who seek defined risk and the ability to express directional views without overnight exposure. Higher retail participation typically drives higher contract frequency and can lift overall options market share for Cboe. The success of these initiatives could provide a durable source of volume growth that is not yet fully reflected in forward looking estimates.
  • The appointment of Tim Lipscomb chief technology officer at Cboe to the board of the Options Clearing Corporation signals a closer alignment between the exchange and its clearing house which could lead to enhanced operational efficiencies and new revenue sharing arrangements. Lipscomb’s extensive experience in global markets technology positions him to advocate for upgrades that reduce latency and improve customer experience across the Cboe ecosystem. Greater integration with OCC may also support the expansion of clearing services for new product classes such as tokenized assets and prediction markets. These synergies are likely to bolster the clearing revenue stream which remains a high margin component of the overall business.
▼ Bear case
  • While the SEC has approved extended trading hours for a limited set of single name options the broader market structure shift toward near 24 hour five day trading could attract scrutiny from regulators concerned about market fairness and systemic risk. Any delay or modification to the rollout of additional trading sessions would limit the expected volume upside and could result in increased compliance costs. Furthermore the reliance on specific volume thresholds for eligibility may restrict the number of symbols that qualify reducing the addressable market for the new sessions. This regulatory uncertainty represents a risk that the market may be overlooking.
  • The upward revision to Data Vantage organic net revenue guidance assumes continued strong demand for real time market data and analytics but the business may be dependent on a limited number of large financial institutions that could negotiate lower fees or shift to alternative providers. Intensifying competition from other data vendors and the rise of open source market data platforms could exert downward pressure on pricing and limit upside. If customer concentration leads to churn or renegotiation the segment’s growth trajectory could slow more quickly than management anticipates. This concentration risk is not fully reflected in the current bullish outlook.
  • The three hundred million dollar sale of Cboe Canada and Cboe Australia provides cash that management intends to allocate to higher growth initiatives but there is no guarantee that these investments will generate the expected returns. Historically reallocation of divestiture proceeds into new ventures such as prediction markets tokenization or clearing expansions has faced execution challenges including cultural integration technology development and slower than anticipated market adoption. If the reinvestment fails to deliver accretive earnings the net benefit of the divestiture could be diminished and the company might end up with a lower growth profile than projected.
  • The launch of daily expiring DJX options and the upcoming prediction market framework may cannibalize existing volume from standard options contracts rather than generate truly incremental trading activity. Retail adoption of novel products such as prediction markets has historically been uneven and may require substantial education and marketing efforts to achieve meaningful scale. If investors continue to prefer established contracts the new offerings could add complexity without materially boosting revenue and could increase operational costs without commensurate gains. This cannibalization risk could offset some of the anticipated volume upside from product innovation.
  • Although Cboe benefits from its relationship with the Options Clearing Corporation the clearing industry is becoming more competitive with new entrants offering lower cost clearing solutions and innovative technology platforms. Increased competition could pressure the fees that Cboe can charge for clearing services especially as market participants seek to reduce transaction costs. Any decline in clearing revenue per trade would directly affect a high margin business line and could weigh on overall profitability. The market may be underestimating the intensity of this competitive landscape.

Statement of Income Location, Balance Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Timing of Transfer of Good or Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

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