Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ (NYSE: HMN)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0000850141
Market Cap 1.81 Bn
P/B 1.05
P/E 15.24
P/S 1.41
ROIC (Qtr) 9.29
Div Yield % 3.57
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.41
Total Debt (Qtr) 842.90 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58
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About

Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) operates in the education market, offering a range of insurance and financial products and services. The company is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol HMN. HMN's main business activities involve providing insurance and financial services to educators and other individuals who serve their communities. The company operates in three segments: Retail Division, Worksite Division, and Corporate & Other. The Retail Division is responsible for selling insurance products and services directly...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 616.80M provides robust 0.73x coverage of total debt 842.90M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 15.29B provides 18.14x coverage of total debt 842.90M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides exceptional 17.67x coverage of interest expenses 34.90M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides strong 60.47x coverage of stock compensation 10.20M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 15.29B provide exceptional 40.41x coverage of deferred revenue 378.40M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M barely covers its investment activities of (239M), with a coverage ratio of -2.58, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (56.70M) with a -10.88 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 616.80M represents just -1.73x of debt issuance (355.60M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M is outpaced by equity issuance of (4.60M) (-134.09 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 1.63B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (257.80M), which is -6.32x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.14 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.48 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.56 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.72 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.95 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 11.48 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.20 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.68 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.05 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 15.24 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.89 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 34.80 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.39 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 9.28 37.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.84 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 660.05 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.96 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 45.13 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 41.32 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 47.16 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 59.84 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 58.33 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 70.62 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 21.79 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.09 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.84 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.84 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.90 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 14.25 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 12.16 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 44.90 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.80 9.63