Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE: HLF)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods CIK: 0001180262
Market Cap 1.61 Bn
P/B -2.64
P/E 5.03
P/S 0.33
ROIC (Qtr) 17.53
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 2.69
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.17 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -3.55
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About

Herbalife Ltd., a prominent player in the health and wellness industry, is a global nutrition company that operates in 95 markets worldwide. Known by its stock symbol HLF, Herbalife is recognized for its direct-selling business model, which sets it apart in the industry. Herbalife's primary business activities revolve around providing health and wellness products to consumers, with a particular focus on nutrition and botanical science. The company's product development strategy is driven by innovation, aiming to offer consumers a variety of choices...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 305.50M provide 14.76x coverage of short-term debt 20.70M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 217M exceeds capital expenditure of 87.60M by 2.48x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.28B provides 21.45x coverage of working capital 106.30M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 304.60M fully covers other non-current liabilities 149.10M by 2.04x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Cash reserves of 305.50M provide solid 2.05x coverage of other non-current liabilities 149.10M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 304.60M barely covers its investment activities of (115.60M), with a coverage ratio of -2.63, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 305.50M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (25.50M), which is -11.98x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 304.60M provides minimal -7.02x coverage of tax expenses of (43.40M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 217M represents just -0.83x of debt issuance (260.90M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 304.60M barely covers operating expenses of 1.62B with a 0.19 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaged Foods
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KHC Kraft Heinz Co 28.20 Bn -4.82 1.13 21.22 Bn
2 GIS General Mills Inc 26.99 Bn 20.72 1.54 13.73 Bn
3 JBS Jbs N.V. 17.81 Bn 10.08 0.23 23.92 Bn
4 MKC Mccormick & Co Inc 16.10 Bn 44.21 3.77 4.00 Bn
5 HRL Hormel Foods Corp /De/ 12.37 Bn 18.03 1.34 2.86 Bn
6 SJM J M SMUCKER Co 11.08 Bn 19.60 1.97 7.91 Bn
7 PPC Pilgrims Pride Corp 10.32 Bn 9.54 0.56 3.29 Bn
8 MICC Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. 9.71 Bn 28.17 1.04 4.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.33 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.82 29.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.65 27.85
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.20 86.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 5.91 -156.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 16.59 -5.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.23 1.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.73 7.32
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -2.64 8.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 5.03 14.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 4.58
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.76
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.65
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.25 6.64
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 6.51 -118.07
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -24.10 43.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 167.23 -48.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 33.52 -152.35
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 48.78 -50.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 106.25 -54.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 264.37 -28.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -0.55 7.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -0.21 439.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.84 1.01
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.31 0.86
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.11 2.60
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -3.55 2.21
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.25 6.64
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.25 6.64
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 12.50 -919.13
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 10.08 -1,474.87
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 5.59 -1,537.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 78.00 26.98
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.50 -1,538.60