Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE: CTOS)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Rental & Leasing Services CIK: 0001709682
Market Cap 1.46 Bn
P/B 1.85
P/E -59.75
P/S 0.75
ROIC (Qtr) 3.64
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.79
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.49 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.17
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About

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS), a prominent name in the North American specialty equipment market, operates through three primary segments: Equipment Rental Solutions (ERS), Truck and Equipment Sales (TES), and Aftermarket Parts and Services (APS). The company boasts a diverse product and service portfolio, including equipment rentals, new and used equipment sales, and aftermarket parts and services. With a rental fleet of over 10,300 units, CTOS holds one of the most extensive specialty equipment rental fleets in the region, offering a wide...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 344.86M provides strong 36.80x coverage of stock compensation 9.37M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 2.60B provide exceptional 94.78x coverage of deferred revenue 27.47M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 344.86M provides strong 12.56x coverage of deferred revenue 27.47M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 344.86M fully covers other non-current liabilities 11.10M by 31.06x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.60B provides 9.71x coverage of working capital 268.01M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 344.86M barely covers its investment activities of (256.39M), with a coverage ratio of -1.35, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 13.06M against inventory of 1.04B, the 0.01 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Free cash flow of 35.94M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 308.92M, with a 0.12 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 145.66M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 257.58M, with a 0.57 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 257.58M relative to operating cash flow of 344.86M, which is 0.75x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Rental & Leasing Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 URI United Rentals, Inc. 55.62 Bn 22.30 3.45 15.35 Bn
2 FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. 27.80 Bn -179.72 106.00 3.45 Bn
3 AER AerCap Holdings N.V. 26.27 Bn 7.00 3.08 43.57 Bn
4 UHAL U-Haul Holding Co /NV/ 13.75 Bn 106.91 2.29 8.06 Bn
5 GATX Gatx Corp 9.00 Bn 53.16 6.81 9.03 Bn
6 R Ryder System Inc 8.88 Bn 17.80 0.70 7.65 Bn
7 AL Air Lease Corp 7.23 Bn 6.92 2.40 19.73 Bn
8 HRI Herc Holdings Inc 5.00 Bn 5,004.00 1.14 9.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.12 1.32
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.48 77.20
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.59 3.45
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 27.18 -105.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.95 20.85
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 110.18 -1.38
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.72 3.10
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.04 9.87
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.85 7.72
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -59.75 277.95
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 3.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 500.03
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 1.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.22
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.90 -60.94
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -62.71 17.05
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 54.75 54.66
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.10
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 47.90 38.63
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 16.07 5.40
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 15.93 2.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 52.41 42.60
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 25.00 243.85
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 120.18 5.41
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.17 31.59
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.55 0.54
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.21
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.27 1.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.17 20.57
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.90 -60.94
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.90 -60.94
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 20.80 35.32
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.52 12.98
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -0.86 3.50
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 21.00 42.91
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.30 1.24