Csx Corp (NASDAQ: CSX)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Railroads CIK: 0000277948
Market Cap 76.97 Bn
P/B 5.85
P/E 26.64
P/S 5.46
ROIC (Qtr) 10.98
Div Yield % 1.27
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.88
Total Debt (Qtr) 18.87 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43
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About

CSX Corporation, commonly known as CSX, is a prominent player in the transportation industry of the United States. The company specializes in rail-based freight transportation services, including traditional rail service, intermodal containers and trailers, and other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX boasts an extensive network of rail lines, spanning approximately 20,000 miles and serving major population centers in 26 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 43.41B provide robust 34.02x coverage of other current liabilities 1.28B, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.61B provides solid 1.47x coverage of current liabilities 3.13B, showing strong operational health.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.61B provides strong 11.83x coverage of inventory 390M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Retained earnings of 10.56B provide strong 8.28x coverage of other current liabilities 1.28B, indicating earnings quality.
  • Free cash flow of 1.79B provides healthy 0.57x coverage of current liabilities 3.13B, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.61B barely covers its investment activities of (2.85B), with a coverage ratio of -1.62, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.61B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (972M) with a -4.75 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 670M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (16M), which is -41.88x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 1.30B relative to inventory of 390M (3.33 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 4.61B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.68B, with a 2.75 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Railroads
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 UNP Union Pacific Corp 156.32 Bn 21.90 6.38 32.55 Bn
2 NSC Norfolk Southern Corp 98.17 Bn 49.09 8.45 17.09 Bn
3 CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd/Cn 77.60 Bn 25.11 7.13 17.31 Bn
4 CSX Csx Corp 76.97 Bn 26.64 5.46 18.87 Bn
5 CNI Canadian National Railway Co 67.54 Bn 19.60 5.35 15.71 Bn
6 WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corp 44.42 Bn 37.97 3.98 5.54 Bn
7 TRN Trinity Industries Inc 2.81 Bn 29.44 1.29 5.94 Bn
8 GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc 0.96 Bn -16.79 0.84 1.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.20 1.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 20.81 16.53
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.09 2.59
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 20.81 7.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 15.48 18.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 53.66 28.00
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.25 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.81 2.75
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.85 3.50
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 26.64 21.48
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.97 2.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 33.80 22.50
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.52 1.27
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 54.34 15.26
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.47 0.60
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -14.66 -6.16
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -28.19 35.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 44.44 3.76
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -13.84 17.20
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -10.17 -15.55
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -14.37 18.03
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -17.26 15.09
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -13.97 15.15
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -35.74 426.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -9.21 -4.94
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.32 0.57
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.13 0.16
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.21 0.90
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.81 1.61
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.43 1.04
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.47 0.60
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.47 0.60
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 44.70 -101.68
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 32.73 -107.52
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 26.75 -114.27
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 45.20 37.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 20.50 -117.34