Armstrong World Industries Inc (NYSE: AWI)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Building Products & Equipment CIK: 0000007431
Market Cap 10.46 Bn
P/B 25.89
P/E 85.07
P/S 11.32
ROIC (Qtr) 23.82
Div Yield % 0.17
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 9.98
Total Debt (Qtr) 496.30 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.56
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About

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI), a company that has been in operation since 1891, is a leading manufacturer of ceiling and wall solutions in the Americas. The company's headquarters are located in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, and it operates through three reportable segments: Mineral Fiber, Architectural Specialties, and Unallocated Corporate. AWI's Mineral Fiber segment is responsible for producing suspended mineral fiber and soft fiber ceiling systems. These products offer various performance attributes such as acoustical control, rated fire...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 332.10M provides robust 0.67x coverage of total debt 496.30M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 90.10M provide 2.34x coverage of short-term debt 38.50M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 332.10M provides strong 16.04x coverage of stock compensation 20.70M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.25B provides 2.52x coverage of total debt 496.30M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 255.50M exceeds capital expenditure of 76.60M by 3.34x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 332.10M barely covers its investment activities of (1.30M), with a coverage ratio of -255.46, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 332.10M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (54.10M) with a -6.14 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 90.10M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 70.90M, which is 1.27x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 255.50M represents just -1.65x of debt issuance (154.70M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 332.10M barely covers operating expenses of (110.70M) with a -3 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Building Products & Equipment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TT Trane Technologies plc 104.89 Bn 35.94 4.92 4.62 Bn
2 JCI Johnson Controls International plc 91.64 Bn 26.98 3.82 9.71 Bn
3 CARR CARRIER GLOBAL Corp 56.66 Bn 38.18 2.61 12.25 Bn
4 LII Lennox International Inc 19.91 Bn 24.71 3.83 1.77 Bn
5 CSL Carlisle Companies Inc 17.50 Bn 23.63 3.49 2.88 Bn
6 MAS Masco Corp /De/ 15.94 Bn 19.68 2.11 3.17 Bn
7 OC Owens Corning 13.83 Bn 13.90 1.63 5.61 Bn
8 WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. 13.26 Bn 28.18 4.44 1.45 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 5.91 2.00
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 51.57 13.48
EV to Debt EV to Debt 22.55 10.94
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 79.76 24.16
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 43.32 -11.14
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 76.38 46.78
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.07 1.12
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 12.11 2.81
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 25.89 4.24
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 85.07 47.40
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 5.65 0.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 17.50 11.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.23 0.71
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 20.83 10.90
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 12.35 111.58
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -15.71 -24.93
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 22.25 61.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.00 1.67
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 19.12 -186.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 17.47 -57.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 14.82 -102.26
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 17.99 -299.15
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 23.51 -598.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 49.33 89.70
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 16.31 -3.62
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.85 0.88
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.13 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.35 1.57
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.52 3.42
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.56 0.79
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 12.35 111.58
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 12.35 111.58
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 33.90 3.54
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 26.62 1.23
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 24.47 -1.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 40.50 28.65
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 19.10 -3.80