Mission Produce, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVO)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Food Distribution CIK: 0001802974
Market Cap 1.03 Bn
P/B 1.75
P/E 27.23
P/S 0.74
ROIC (Qtr) 4.82
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -9.99
Total Debt (Qtr) 200.90 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.34
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About

Mission Produce, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol AVO, operates in the avocado industry. The company is renowned for its farming, packaging, marketing, and distribution of avocados, primarily sourced from California, Mexico, and Peru. Mission Produce's global distribution network spans across North America, China, Europe, and the U.K., enabling it to cater to a diverse customer base that includes retail, wholesale, and foodservice customers. The company's operations are segmented into Marketing and Distribution, International Farming,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 88.60M provides robust 0.44x coverage of total debt 200.90M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 66.50M provide 3.76x coverage of short-term debt 17.70M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 943.60M provides 4.70x coverage of total debt 200.90M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 88.60M provides exceptional 31.64x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.80M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 88.60M provides strong 10.07x coverage of stock compensation 8.80M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 88.60M barely covers its investment activities of (51.90M), with a coverage ratio of -1.71, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating earnings of 68.50M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 41.40M, with a 1.65 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 37.30M represents just -1.78x of debt issuance (20.90M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 41.40M relative to operating cash flow of 88.60M, which is 0.47x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 88.60M is outpaced by equity issuance of (5.80M) (-15.28 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Food Distribution
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SYY Sysco Corp 52.49 Bn 48.75 1.21 14.97 Bn
2 USFD US Foods Holding Corp. 22.03 Bn 32.59 0.56 5.37 Bn
3 PFGC Performance Food Group Co 15.24 Bn 44.17 0.23 7.99 Bn
4 CHEF Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 2.62 Bn 35.11 0.65 0.95 Bn
5 UNFI United Natural Foods Inc 2.38 Bn -23.56 0.07 3.47 Bn
6 ANDE Andersons, Inc. 1.88 Bn 20.94 0.34 0.77 Bn
7 AVO Mission Produce, Inc. 1.03 Bn 27.23 0.74 0.20 Bn
8 CVGW Calavo Growers Inc 0.45 Bn -33.31 0.43 0.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.24 1.05
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.71 34.23
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.05 13.37
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 17.74 164.56
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.40 4.40
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 32.58 22.08
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.18 1.45
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.87 0.53
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.75 2.85
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 27.23 13.20
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.57
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 21.05
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.44
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 8.21
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.29 7.20
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -59.81 -12.24
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 12.14 35.81
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 32.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -3.03 65.49
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -2.65 -8.59
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 0.88 21.40
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 6.87 -278.84
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 1.92 -67.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -39.15 82.95
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.38 1.59
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.42 2.79
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.49 0.34
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.95 2.65
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.34 1.41
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.29 7.20
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.29 7.20
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 7.90 4.45
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.92 8.39
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 4.25 4.17
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 11.60 24.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.70 3.22