Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE: AJG)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance Brokers CIK: 0000354190
Market Cap 54.84 Bn
P/B 2.35
P/E 36.71
P/S 3.93
ROIC (Qtr) 6.31
Div Yield % 1.21
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 33.58
Total Debt (Qtr) 13.49 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58
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About

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), a prominent player in the insurance brokerage and risk management services industry, operates globally with a diverse clientele across various sectors. The company's main business activities include providing comprehensive insurance, reinsurance, and risk management solutions, superior claim outcomes, and consulting services to its clients. AJG generates revenue primarily through commissions, fees, and supplemental and contingent revenues from its brokerage operations, as well as fees from its risk management operations....

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 37.39B provides 2.77x coverage of total debt 13.48B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.93B provides exceptional 214.44x coverage of minority interest expenses 9M, showing strong core operations.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.78B exceeds capital expenditure of 145M by 12.31x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 37.39B provide exceptional 41.91x coverage of deferred revenue 892M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 37.39B provides 20.35x coverage of working capital 1.84B, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.93B barely covers its investment activities of (15.88B), with a coverage ratio of -0.12, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.93B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (667M) with a -2.89 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.40B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (15.75B), which is -0.09x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 2.50B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.12B, with a 2.23 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 1.78B represents just -8.42x of debt issuance (212M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance Brokers
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AON Aon plc 70.39 Bn 19.05 4.10 15.89 Bn
2 AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 54.84 Bn 36.71 3.93 13.49 Bn
3 WTW Willis Towers Watson Plc 19.93 Bn 59.66 5.32 5.91 Bn
4 BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. 19.47 Bn 80.03 11.73 7.86 Bn
5 ERIE Erie Indemnity Co 13.20 Bn 70.61 8.51 0.00 Bn
6 CRVL Corvel Corp 2.55 Bn 24.11 2.71 0.02 Bn
7 ARX Accelerant Holdings 1.78 Bn 65.50 2.96 0.12 Bn
8 GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 1.28 Bn 42.19 3.61 0.35 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.95 0.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 34.78 12.25
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.98 7.89
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 26.84 12.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 17.47 10.03
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 37.61 0.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.22 -2,042.77
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.81 2.24
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.35 2.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 36.71 21.56
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.24 1.26
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 44.60 32.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.60 0.99
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 37.40 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.91 -4.31
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -2.11 -64.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -90.69 1.65
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 8.33 -3.13
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 13.92 -0.20
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 17.17 -8.63
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 11.25 17.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -0.27 32.64
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -12.07 -77.22
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -26.87 -60.35
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 19.21 44.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.20 0.62
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.32 0.18
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.51
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.06 2.20
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58 0.87
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.91 -4.31
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.91 -4.31
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 26.00 -2.17
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 17.94 -69.72
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.36 -8.04
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 83.80 50.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 10.70 -10.75