XChange TEC.INC (NASDAQ: XHG)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance Brokers CIK: 0001769256
Market Cap 2,641.32
P/B 0.00
P/E 0.00
P/S 0.00
ROIC (Qtr) 0.00
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 98.47 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -0.80
Add ratio to table...

About

XChange TEC.INC, also known as FLJ Group Limited, is a technology-driven company operating in the insurance industry in China. The company's main business activities are conducted through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Alpha Mind, an insurance agency and insurance technology business. Alpha Mind provides a wide variety of insurance products underwritten by major insurance companies in China, including industry leading and/or state-owned property and casualty insurance companies, as well as certain regional property and casualty insurance companies. The...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 6.38M provide exceptional 2671.59x coverage of deferred revenue 2387.64, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Long-term investments of 702247.19 provide solid 14.16x coverage of long-term debt 49578.65, indicating strategic financial planning.
  • Operating cash flow of (1.64M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (2387.64) by 688.12x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Strong free cash flow of (1.64M) provides 18.54x coverage of acquisition spending (88623.60), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Retained earnings of (646.80M) represent substantial 5.23x of equity (123.62M), indicating strong internal capital generation.

Bear case

  • Cash reserves of 1.53M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (88623.60), which is -17.24x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of (1.64M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 2387.64, which is -688.12x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Operating earnings of (101.24M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 55617.98, with a -1820.31 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (1.64M) provides minimal -254.30x coverage of tax expenses of 6460.67, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Long-term investments of 702247.19 represent a high 8.98x of fixed assets 78230.34, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance Brokers
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AON Aon plc 70.39 Bn 19.05 4.10 15.89 Bn
2 AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 54.84 Bn 36.71 3.93 13.49 Bn
3 WTW Willis Towers Watson Plc 19.93 Bn 59.66 5.32 5.91 Bn
4 BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. 19.47 Bn 80.03 11.73 7.86 Bn
5 ERIE Erie Indemnity Co 13.20 Bn 70.61 8.51 0.00 Bn
6 CRVL Corvel Corp 2.55 Bn 24.11 2.71 0.02 Bn
7 ARX Accelerant Holdings 1.78 Bn 65.50 2.96 0.12 Bn
8 GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 1.28 Bn 42.19 3.61 0.35 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets -10.86 0.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 64.43 12.25
EV to Debt EV to Debt -1.08 7.89
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 1.05 12.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 1.05 10.03
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 64.43 0.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap -40,080.08 -2,042.77
EV to Revenue EV/Rev -2.06 2.24
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.00 2.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 0.00 21.56
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 1.26
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 32.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.99
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -26.19 -4.31
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -64.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 34.56 1.65
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -3.13
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -259.27 -0.20
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA Growth (1y) % -22.32 -8.63
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -260.12 17.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -230.74 32.64
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -77.22
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF Growth (1y) % -21.05 -60.35
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -40.59 44.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.74 0.62
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 0.18
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.51
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 2.20
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -0.80 0.87
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -26.19 -4.31
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -26.19 -4.31
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % -197.20 -2.17
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -1,405.11 -69.72
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -204.88 -8.04
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 2.20 50.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -204.90 -10.75