Aureus Greenway Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: AGH)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Leisure CIK: 0002009312
Market Cap 56.13 Mn
P/B 1.66
P/E -20.14
P/S 19.18
ROIC (Qtr) -13.61
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -22.89
Total Debt (Qtr) 693,810.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02
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About

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 29.41M provide 146.48x coverage of short-term debt 200768, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 35.19M provides 50.72x coverage of total debt 693810, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 35.19M provide exceptional 278.22x coverage of deferred revenue 126471, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of (1.55M) fully covers other non-current liabilities (71494) by 21.74x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Tangible assets of 35.19M provide robust 278.22x coverage of other current liabilities 126471, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (1.55M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 126471, which is -12.29x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (1.55M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 1.84M, with a -0.84 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (2.40M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 847051, with a -2.84 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (2.85M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 208771, with a -13.67 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (1.55M) barely covers operating expenses of 208771 with a -7.45 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Leisure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AS Amer Sports, Inc. 22.38 Bn 71.89 3.67 1.87 Bn
2 HAS Hasbro, Inc. 13.30 Bn 46.47 3.26 3.32 Bn
3 PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. 7.78 Bn 37.79 6.04 2.58 Bn
4 GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. 7.40 Bn 80.24 4.75 0.90 Bn
5 LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. 6.29 Bn 21.85 2.16 4.13 Bn
6 MAT Mattel Inc /De/ 5.43 Bn 12.57 1.04 2.59 Bn
7 YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. 3.97 Bn 24.75 2.17 0.22 Bn
8 MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. 2.95 Bn 56.80 2.91 1.20 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.40 1.19
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -31.65 -6.09
EV to Debt EV to Debt 70.92 14.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -17.24 -159.90
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -15.97 -4.06
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -20.49 0.74
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.88 -0.64
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 16.81 4.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.66 4.75
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -20.14 12.00
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -0.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.11
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.22
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.13
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -337.46 -30.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -335.82 -13.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 5,756.35 1,190.33
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 13.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1,078.97 -111.75
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -4,613.82 -165.31
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -1,218.68 -1,562.20
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1,060.81 -1,555.34
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -711.54 -377.44
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -2,322.21 10.93
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -15.28 17.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.08 0.73
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 34.82 3.31
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 35.49 4.80
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02 2.35
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -337.46 -30.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -337.46 -30.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -90.40 -57.55
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -97.49 -65.38
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -97.78 -69.55
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 46.40 46.51
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -95.20 -74.45