Aeries Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: AERT)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Consulting Services CIK: 0001853044
Market Cap 16.46 Mn
P/B -13.81
P/E -5.62
P/S 0.24
ROIC (Qtr) 2.65
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.83
Total Debt (Qtr) 14.36 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -12.04
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About

Aeries Technology, Inc. (AERT) operates in the internet sector, a rapidly growing and evolving industry characterized by rapid innovation, technological advancements, and changing consumer behaviors. The company is a blank check company, formed to effect a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. Its main business activities are focused on identifying and completing a business combination with a company in the internet sector. Aeries Technology generates...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 41.98M provides 2.92x coverage of total debt 14.36M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 5.63M provides strong 19.20x coverage of stock compensation 293000, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 4.86M exceeds capital expenditure of 769000 by 6.32x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Free cash flow of 4.86M provides exceptional 8.33x coverage of interest expense 583000, showing strong debt service ability.
  • Cash reserves of 2.57M provide ample 7.02x coverage of acquisition spending 366000, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 5.63M barely covers its investment activities of (762000), with a coverage ratio of -7.38, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating earnings of 1.13M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 911000, with a 1.24 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 5.63M provides minimal 1.62x coverage of tax expenses of 3.48M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 4.86M represents just -1.26x of debt issuance (3.85M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Cash position of 2.57M provides weak coverage of payables of 6.44M, which is 0.40x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Consulting Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. 28.99 Bn 59.50 10.85 4.89 Bn
2 EFX Equifax Inc 23.01 Bn 48.18 7.65 4.81 Bn
3 BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp 9.48 Bn 11.30 0.83 4.14 Bn
4 FCN Fti Consulting, Inc 5.36 Bn 20.13 1.45 0.74 Bn
5 HURN Huron Consulting Group Inc. 2.29 Bn 21.14 1.38 0.65 Bn
6 ICFI ICF International, Inc. 1.43 Bn 22.60 0.96 0.62 Bn
7 CRAI Cra International, Inc. 1.10 Bn 25.41 1.63 0.19 Bn
8 SBC SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc 0.48 Bn 11.17 2.71 0.03 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.75 1.96
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 5.57 5.36
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.18 58.47
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 27.66 18.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 22.53 20.71
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 6.45 11.61
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.90 -835.88
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.45 5.73
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -13.81 3.44
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -5.62 22.21
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.70
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.32
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.40
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.94 92.47
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 55.45 -330.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 7.71 126.66
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.43
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -134.20 -18.91
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 105.73 -12.32
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -92.40 -132.53
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -96.14 -937.51
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -104.91 -76.24
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 161.30 -11.33
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -3.99 12.14
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.65 0.77
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.09
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 2.02
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 4.88
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -12.04 0.55
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.94 92.47
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.94 92.47
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 3.00 -16.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.64 -96.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.79 -22.60
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 24.90 54.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -4.20 -25.32