ICF International, Inc. (NASDAQ: ICFI)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Consulting Services CIK: 0001362004
Market Cap 1.43 Bn
P/B 2.03
P/E 22.60
P/S 0.96
ROIC (Qtr) 7.20
Div Yield % 0.92
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -9.98
Total Debt (Qtr) 623.95 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.61
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About

ICF International, Inc. (ICFI), a professional services and technology-based solutions company, operates in the consulting and engineering industry, providing a wide range of services to clients in various sectors. The company's main business activities include advisory services, program implementation services, analytics services, digital services, and engagement services. ICF International operates in three key markets: Energy, Environment, Infrastructure, and Disaster Recovery; Health and Social Programs; and Security and Other Civilian & Commercial. ICF...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 50.95M provide 2.40x coverage of short-term debt 21.23M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Tangible assets of 772.61M provide exceptional 22.28x coverage of deferred revenue 34.68M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 140.99M exceeds capital expenditure of 20.62M by 6.84x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.60M provides strong 4.66x coverage of deferred revenue 34.68M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Retained earnings of 941.32M provide full 1.56x coverage of long-term debt 602.72M, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 161.60M barely covers its investment activities of (75.57M), with a coverage ratio of -2.14, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.60M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (10.40M) with a -15.54 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 50.95M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (55.01M), which is -0.93x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 151.82M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 56.96M, with a 2.67 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Retained earnings of 941.32M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (14.03M), which is -67.07x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Consulting Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. 28.99 Bn 59.50 10.85 4.89 Bn
2 EFX Equifax Inc 23.01 Bn 48.18 7.65 4.81 Bn
3 BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp 9.48 Bn 11.30 0.83 4.14 Bn
4 FCN Fti Consulting, Inc 5.36 Bn 20.13 1.45 0.74 Bn
5 HURN Huron Consulting Group Inc. 2.29 Bn 21.14 1.38 0.65 Bn
6 ICFI ICF International, Inc. 1.43 Bn 22.60 0.96 0.62 Bn
7 CRAI Cra International, Inc. 1.10 Bn 25.41 1.63 0.19 Bn
8 SBC SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc 0.48 Bn 11.17 2.71 0.03 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.97 1.96
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.65 5.36
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.29 58.47
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 21.29 18.59
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.41 20.71
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 15.92 11.61
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.43 -835.88
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.38 5.73
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.03 3.44
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 22.60 22.21
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 9.50 0.70
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 10.50 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.56 0.32
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 7.32 6.40
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.05 92.47
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -2.98 -330.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 567.36 126.66
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 0.43
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -7.68 -18.91
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -4.86 -12.32
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -10.41 -132.53
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.00 -937.51
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -6.97 -76.24
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -13.50 -11.33
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -2.25 12.14
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.91 0.77
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.06 0.09
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.13 2.02
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.41 4.88
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.61 0.55
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.05 92.47
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.05 92.47
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.80 -16.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.88 -96.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.32 -22.60
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 37.20 54.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.10 -25.32