TOST vs UPST vs DBD Stock Comparison

Toast, Upstart Holdings and Diebold Nixdorf Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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TOST Toast, Inc.
$31.50 +3.4% 1M -11.9% 1Y
Market cap
$18.18B
P/E
37.5x
Revenue (TTM)
$6.80B
Div. yield
–
Restaurant and Retail Software Technology
4 wins
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc.
$24.84 +7.3% 1M -49.0% 1Y
Market cap
$2.42B
P/E
39.8x
Revenue (TTM)
$1.25B
Div. yield
–
Digital Lending Technology
1 win
DBD DIEBOLD NIXDORF, Inc
$59.15 -1.8% 1M +3.0% 1Y
Market cap
$1.99B
P/E
26.0x
Revenue (TTM)
$3.92B
Div. yield
–
Restaurant and Retail Software Technology
6 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Diebold Nixdorf leads on 6 of the 12 questions below (Diebold Nixdorf 6, Toast 4, Upstart Holdings 1). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionTOSTUPSTDBDLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $18.18B $2.42B $1.99B TOST
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 37.5x 39.8x 26.0x DBD
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 23.9x 36.0x 10.5x DBD
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +23.0% +48.6% +6.3% UPST
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 7.1% 4.8% 2.0% TOST
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital — 1.8% 7.4% DBD
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA — 20.6x 2.2x DBD
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield — — — –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -11.9% -49.0% +3.0% DBD
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -10.0%/yr -40.1%/yr — TOST
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 47.7% 65.1% 42.8% DBD
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 70/100 49/100 67/100 TOST

Percentile Scorecard

TOSTUPSTDBD

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisTOSTUPSTDBD
Valuation 51 #44 of 89 50 #50 of 99 90 #10 of 89
Growth 98 #3 of 81 76 #23 of 94 61 #32 of 81
Profitability 67 #26 of 76 53 #43 of 90 60 #31 of 76
Financial Health 72 #27 of 93 9 #96 of 105 28 #67 of 93
Shareholder Returns 65 #18 of 50 56 #27 of 60 96 #3 of 50
Overall 70 49 67
  • TOST ranked among 98 companies in Vertical Software
  • UPST ranked among 109 companies in Fintech
  • DBD ranked among 98 companies in Vertical Software

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodTOSTUPSTDBDSPY
1 month +3.4%+7.3%-1.8% +0.7%
3 months -4.1%-8.1%-17.0% +3.7%
6 months +10.4%-21.3%-23.0% +7.1%
Year to date -11.3%-43.2%-12.9% +12.8%
1 year -11.9%-49.0%+3.0% +11.9%
3 years +97.5%+6.5%+212.5% +85.2%
3 years, per year +25.5%+2.1%+46.2% +22.8%
5 years -40.8%-92.3%— +67.6%
5 years, per year -10.0%-40.1%— +10.9%

Risk

MeasureTOSTUPSTDBDSPY
Volatility, 1Y 47.7%65.1%42.8% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 52.5%68.5%49.5% 12.6%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.072.911.06 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.25-0.750.07 0.94
Max drawdown, 5Y -80.6%-96.5%-36.0% -25.4%
From 52-week high -19.3%-51.0%-34.8% -1.2%
52-week high $39.02$50.70$90.73 $779.14
52-week low $22.33$22.74$56.24 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleTOSTUPSTDBD
P/E now vs peer median 37.5xmedian 39.2x 39.8xmedian 19.5x 26.0xmedian 39.2x
P/S now vs peer median 2.7xmedian 2.4x 1.9xmedian 2.2x 0.5xmedian 2.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 28.4xmedian 17.3x 52.7xmedian 17.8x 8.0xmedian 17.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 31.6xmedian 20.3x -8.4xmedian 16.1x 12.9xmedian 20.3x
P/B now vs peer median 8.9xmedian 1.8x 3.0xmedian 2.0x 2.1xmedian 1.8x
PEG now vs peer median 0.80median 1.52 1.35median 0.98 0.93median 1.52

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsTOSTUPSTDBD
Revenue $6.80B $1.25B $3.92B
Gross profit $1.82B $1.03B $979.70M
Operating income $431.00M $49.71M $211.30M
Net income $486.00M $60.33M $79.30M
Free cash flow $576.00M -$289.05M $154.40M
R&D $405.00M $304.91M $83.80M
EPS (diluted) $0.82 $0.55 $2.22
Cash & equivalents $1.02B $455.96M $184.90M
Total debt – $2.00B $949.30M
Shares (diluted) 590.00M 109.72M 34.60M
Enterprise value $10.84B $346.04M $737.23M

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricTOSTUPSTDBD
P/E 37.5x 39.8x 26.0x
P/FCF 31.6x -8.4x 12.9x
P/Operating cash flow 28.6x -8.5x 10.6x
P/S 2.7x 1.9x 0.5x
P/B 8.9x 3.0x 2.1x
P/Tangible book 8.9x 3.0x 9.1x
EV/EBITDA 28.4x 52.7x 8.0x
EV/EBIT 38.2x 79.8x 13.0x
EV/Revenue 2.4x 3.2x 0.7x
EV/FCF 28.6x -13.7x 17.8x
EV/Operating cash flow 25.9x -14.0x 14.6x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.80 1.35 0.93

Growth

14 metrics
MetricTOSTUPSTDBD
Revenue growth (1Y) 23.0% 48.6% 6.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 27.1% 27.9% 2.5%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 30.5% 53.0% 7.3%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 38.1% 33.7% 7.8%
Operating income growth (1Y) 128.0% 199.7% 5.2%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) 47.5% 29.6% 173.8%
Net income growth (1Y) 117.0% 1,050% 53.4%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 48.7% 30.5% 27.7%
EPS growth (1Y) 122.5% 990.2% 62.1%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 46.7% 29.5% 27.8%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) 13.8% -335.4% -32.6%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) 106.7% -13.2% 44.8%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) 13.4% -341.5% -38.6%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) 82.9% -13.0% 40.0%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricTOSTUPSTDBD
Gross margin 26.7% 82.5% 25.0%
EBITDA margin 8.5% 6.0% 8.7%
Operating margin 6.3% 4.0% 5.4%
Pretax margin 7.3% 4.9% 3.2%
Net margin 7.1% 4.8% 2.0%
FCF margin 8.5% -23.2% 3.9%
Operating cash flow margin 9.3% -22.8% 4.8%
Return on equity 24.1% 7.9% 8.3%
Return on assets 15.5% 2.0% 2.1%
Return on invested capital – 1.8% 7.4%
Return on capital employed 21.2% – 8.8%
Asset turnover 2.2x 0.4x 1.1x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 1.3x -4.7x 2.4x
Stock comp / revenue 3.4% 11.7% 0.4%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricTOSTUPSTDBD
Debt / assets – 63.2% 25.9%
Debt / equity – 2.5x 1.0x
Net debt / EBITDA – 20.6x 2.2x
Debt / FCF – -6.9x 6.1x
Liabilities / assets 35.7% 74.9% 74.2%
Equity / assets 64.3% 25.1% 25.8%
Interest coverage – 1.2x 2.2x
Current ratio 2.4x – 1.3x
Quick ratio 1.7x – 0.6x
Cash ratio 1.6x – 0.1x
Altman Z-score 12.34 – 1.86

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricTOSTUPSTDBD
Dividend yield – – –
Net buyback yield 2.8% 3.4% 10.4%
Shareholder yield 2.8% 3.4% 10.4%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusTOSTUPSTDBD
Forward P/E 23.9xFY2026 36.0xFY2026 10.5xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $1.32FY2026 $0.69FY2026 $5.62FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +34.7%FY2026 -58.4%FY2026 +0.5%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +35.6% +191.3% +31.5%
Revenue, next fiscal year $7.84BFY2026 $1.35BFY2026 $4.14BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +27.5%FY2026 +29.4%FY2026 +8.6%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +17.8% +42.2% +3.1%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersTOSTUPSTDBD
Held by institutions 93.1% 60.0% 100.0%
Institutions holding 775 364 213
Change in shares held, QoQ +8.1% +3.2% +8.6%
Institutions buying 428 196 129
Institutions selling 245 98 61
Buyers to sellers 1.75 2.00 2.11

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

TOSTUPSTDBD
TOST 1.00 0.43 0.20
UPST 0.43 1.00 0.21
DBD 0.20 0.21 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, TOST, UPST and DBD?

Toast (TOST) is the largest by market capitalisation: Toast (TOST) $18.18B, Upstart Holdings (UPST) $2.42B, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) $1.99B.

Which stock is cheaper, TOST, UPST and DBD?

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Toast (TOST) 37.5x, Upstart Holdings (UPST) 39.8x, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) 26.0x). On next year's consensus earnings, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) is cheapest (Toast (TOST) 23.9x, Upstart Holdings (UPST) 36.0x, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) 10.5x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Upstart Holdings (UPST) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Toast (TOST) +23.0%, Upstart Holdings (UPST) +48.6%, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) +6.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

Toast (TOST) has the highest net margin (Toast (TOST) 7.1%, Upstart Holdings (UPST) 4.8%, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) 2.0%). On return on invested capital, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) leads (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 1.8%, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) 7.4%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) returned the most: Toast (TOST) -11.9%, Upstart Holdings (UPST) -49.0%, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) +3.0%. Over five years, Toast (TOST) compounded fastest (Toast (TOST) -10.0%/yr, Upstart Holdings (UPST) -40.1%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) has been the steadiest (Toast (TOST) 47.7%, Upstart Holdings (UPST) 65.1%, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) 42.8%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, TOST, UPST and DBD?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) leads on 6. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.