NXDT vs CXW vs GEO Stock Comparison

Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust, CoreCivic and Geo Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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CXW CoreCivic, Inc.
$28.38 -10.7% 1M +52.3% 1Y
Market cap
$2.45B
P/E
1.8x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.65B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
10 wins
GEO Geo Group Inc
$25.14 -16.0% 1M +49.6% 1Y
Market cap
$3.33B
P/E
11.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
1 win

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

CoreCivic leads on 10 of the 12 questions below (CoreCivic 10, Geo 1). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionNXDTCXWGEOLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $180.03M $2.45B $3.33B GEO
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -2.4x 1.8x 11.3x CXW
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — 1.7x 18.2x CXW
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months -20.5% +26.9% +15.3% CXW
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -94.2% 54.6% 10.3% CXW
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital -0.1% 52.5% 7.5% CXW
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 15.1x 0.0x 3.3x CXW
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 14.16% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +8.7% +52.3% +49.6% CXW
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -25.4%/yr +24.3%/yr +21.3%/yr CXW
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 65.9% 42.6% 50.0% CXW
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 31/100 78/100 57/100 CXW

Percentile Scorecard

NXDTCXWGEO

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisNXDTCXWGEO
Valuation 32 #100 of 146 62 #44 of 114 56 #51 of 114
Growth 5 #138 of 145 67 #33 of 98 58 #42 of 98
Profitability 3 #137 of 141 77 #23 of 95 59 #40 of 95
Financial Health 68 #47 of 146 84 #21 of 126 34 #83 of 126
Shareholder Returns 50 #69 of 136 100 #1 of 71 77 #17 of 71
Overall 31 78 57
  • NXDT ranked among 149 companies in Property REITs
  • CXW ranked among 131 companies in Business Services
  • GEO ranked among 131 companies in Business Services

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodNXDTCXWGEOSPY
1 month -34.8%-10.7%-16.0% -5.9%
3 months -25.7%-12.0%-16.6% -4.6%
6 months -33.4%+30.1%+18.5% +0.2%
Year to date -11.5%+48.5%+56.0% +7.5%
1 year +8.7%+52.3%+49.6% +8.2%
3 years -58.9%+111.5%+180.9% +68.3%
3 years, per year -25.6%+28.4%+41.1% +19.0%
5 years -76.9%+196.6%+163.0% +56.5%
5 years, per year -25.4%+24.3%+21.3% +9.4%
10 years -83.6%+94.9%+59.9% +251.5%
10 years, per year -16.5%+6.9%+4.8% +13.4%

Risk

MeasureNXDTCXWGEOSPY
Volatility, 1Y 65.9%42.6%50.0% 13.6%
Downside volatility, 1Y 70.0%44.7%52.4% 14.2%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.230.480.90 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 0.131.230.99 0.60
Max drawdown, 5Y -84.7%-39.7%-62.5% -25.4%
From 52-week high -41.5%-20.1%-23.3% -5.9%
52-week high $5.79$35.53$32.78 $779.14
52-week low $2.66$16.13$13.26 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleNXDTCXWGEO
P/E now vs peer median -2.4xmedian 26.5x 1.8xmedian 21.1x 11.3xmedian 21.1x
P/S now vs peer median 2.3xmedian 4.2x 0.9xmedian 0.9x 1.2xmedian 0.9x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 25.6xmedian 14.4x 1.2xmedian 11.7x 10.5xmedian 11.7x
P/FCF now vs peer median -24.3xmedian 21.7x -6.2xmedian 15.3x 125.8xmedian 15.3x
P/B now vs peer median 0.3xmedian 1.3x 1.1xmedian 2.3x 2.2xmedian 2.3x
PEG now vs peer median 8.43median 1.78 0.01median 0.88 0.44median 0.88

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsNXDTCXWGEO
Revenue $78.07M $2.65B $2.83B
Operating income -$1.21M – $315.54M
Net income -$66.70M $1.45B $291.54M
Free cash flow -$7.40M -$397.73M $26.44M
EPS (diluted) $-1.22 $15.73 $2.21
Cash & equivalents $11.67M $547.23M $54.99M
Total debt $272.20M $623.11M $1.54B
Shares (diluted) 60.44M 91.94M 132.02M
Enterprise value $187.28M $1.49B $2.94B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricNXDTCXWGEO
P/E -2.4x 1.8x 11.3x
P/FCF -24.3x -6.2x 125.8x
P/Operating cash flow -57.8x -9.2x 16.7x
P/S 2.3x 0.9x 1.2x
P/B 0.3x 1.1x 2.2x
P/Tangible book 0.3x 1.1x 2.4x
EV/EBITDA 25.6x 1.2x 10.5x
EV/EBIT -363.5x 1.2x 15.3x
EV/Revenue 5.6x 1.0x 1.7x
EV/FCF -59.6x -6.4x 182.1x
EV/Operating cash flow -141.4x -9.5x 24.2x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 8.43 0.01 0.44

Growth

14 metrics
MetricNXDTCXWGEO
Revenue growth (1Y) -20.5% 26.9% 15.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) -16.7% 12.2% 5.0%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) -414.0% – 11.4%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – – -7.0%
Net income growth (1Y) 35.7% 1,223% 222.2%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -23.7% 180.4% 28.5%
EPS growth (1Y) 42.1% 1,438% 242.8%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -0.3% 201.6% 25.6%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -188.2% -214.0% -16.6%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -27.3% -45.7% -4.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -648.0% -452.2% -79.8%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -29.6% -63.1% -42.6%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricNXDTCXWGEO
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 22.1% 82.7% 16.1%
Operating margin -1.6% – 11.2%
Pretax margin -85.1% 75.0% 14.0%
Net margin -94.2% 54.6% 10.3%
FCF margin -9.5% -15.0% 0.9%
Operating cash flow margin -4.0% -10.1% 7.0%
Return on equity -10.0% 77.8% 19.4%
Return on assets -6.5% 40.5% 7.7%
Return on invested capital -0.1% 52.5% 7.5%
Return on capital employed – 66.8% 9.3%
Asset turnover 0.1x 0.7x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.0x -0.2x 0.7x
Stock comp / revenue 6.0% 1.1% 0.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricNXDTCXWGEO
Debt / assets 26.2% 16.9% 41.2%
Debt / equity 0.4x 0.3x 1.0x
Net debt / EBITDA 15.1x 0.0x 3.3x
Debt / FCF -36.8x -1.6x 58.3x
Liabilities / assets 35.2% 38.1% 59.5%
Equity / assets 64.8% 61.9% 40.5%
Interest coverage -0.1x 32.6x 2.1x
Current ratio – 2.4x 1.7x
Quick ratio – 2.1x 1.5x
Cash ratio – 1.1x 0.1x
Altman Z-score – 4.33 2.15

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricNXDTCXWGEO
Dividend yield 14.2% – –
Net buyback yield -33.7% 26.7% 5.2%
Shareholder yield -19.5% 26.7% 5.2%
Payout ratio (earnings) -10.3% – –
Payout ratio (FCF) -93.2% – –
Dividend growth (1Y) 25.4% – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusNXDTCXWGEO
Forward P/E – 1.7xFY2026 18.2xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year – $16.94FY2026 $1.38FY2026
EPS growth, next FY – +1,468.5%FY2026 +60.5%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after – -85.4% +40.6%
Revenue, next fiscal year – $2.85BFY2026 $3.17BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY – +29.1%FY2026 +20.6%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after – -0.2% -1.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersNXDTCXWGEO
Held by institutions 50.2% 87.5% 94.2%
Institutions holding 128 278 292
Change in shares held, QoQ +3.8% +0.2% -2.2%
Institutions buying 80 155 151
Institutions selling 34 86 97
Buyers to sellers 2.35 1.80 1.56

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

NXDTCXWGEO
NXDT 1.00 0.05 0.04
CXW 0.05 1.00 0.76
GEO 0.04 0.76 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, NXDT, CXW and GEO?

Geo (GEO) is the largest by market capitalisation: Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) $180.03M, CoreCivic (CXW) $2.45B, Geo (GEO) $3.33B.

Which stock is cheaper, NXDT, CXW and GEO?

CoreCivic (CXW) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) -2.4x, CoreCivic (CXW) 1.8x, Geo (GEO) 11.3x). On next year's consensus earnings, CoreCivic (CXW) is cheapest (CoreCivic (CXW) 1.7x, Geo (GEO) 18.2x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

CoreCivic (CXW) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) -20.5%, CoreCivic (CXW) +26.9%, Geo (GEO) +15.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

CoreCivic (CXW) has the highest net margin (Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) -94.2%, CoreCivic (CXW) 54.6%, Geo (GEO) 10.3%). On return on invested capital, CoreCivic (CXW) leads (Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) -0.1%, CoreCivic (CXW) 52.5%, Geo (GEO) 7.5%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year CoreCivic (CXW) returned the most: Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) +8.7%, CoreCivic (CXW) +52.3%, Geo (GEO) +49.6%. Over five years, CoreCivic (CXW) compounded fastest (Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) -25.4%/yr, CoreCivic (CXW) +24.3%/yr, Geo (GEO) +21.3%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Only one of these companies pays a dividend: Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) 14.16%, CoreCivic (CXW) 0.00%, Geo (GEO) 0.00%. CoreCivic (CXW) and Geo (GEO) pays no regular dividend.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, CoreCivic (CXW) has been the steadiest (Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) 65.9%, CoreCivic (CXW) 42.6%, Geo (GEO) 50.0%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, NXDT, CXW and GEO?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, CoreCivic (CXW) leads on 10. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.