ARI vs NLY vs TWOD Stock Comparison

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Annaly Capital Management and Two Harbors Investment Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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Head to Head

10 decided of 12

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance leads on 4 of the 12 questions below (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance 4, Annaly Capital Management 3, Two Harbors Investment 3). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionARINLYTWODLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $306.59M $13.94B $2.69B NLY
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 2.6x 14.7x -36.5x ARI
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — 6.1x — –
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months -14.7% +51.6% +3.5% NLY
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 50.3% 32.0% -15.3% ARI
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 10.6% 12.2% 21.7% TWOD
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA — 5.5x — –
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.46% 0.00% 0.06% ARI
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -36.0% -10.6% -1.6% TWOD
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -15.7%/yr -11.4%/yr — NLY
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 45.4% 21.7% 6.2% TWOD
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 54/100 54/100 40/100 ARI

Percentile Scorecard

ARINLYTWOD

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisARINLYTWOD
Valuation 66 #59 of 169 58 #72 of 169 45 #93 of 169
Growth 27 #117 of 159 80 #32 of 159 29 #114 of 159
Profitability 57 #63 of 146 83 #26 of 146 40 #88 of 146
Financial Health 90 #16 of 153 29 #109 of 153 72 #44 of 153
Shareholder Returns 33 #91 of 135 19 #110 of 135 14 #116 of 135
Overall 54 54 40
  • ARI ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit
  • NLY ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit
  • TWOD ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodARINLYTWODSPY
1 month +3.4%-9.1%-2.5% +0.7%
3 months -0.6%-20.0%-0.5% +3.7%
6 months -41.0%-19.3%-0.7% +7.1%
Year to date -33.3%-17.4%-0.4% +12.8%
1 year -36.0%-10.6%-1.6% +11.9%
3 years -31.9%+22.6%— +85.2%
3 years, per year -12.0%+7.0%— +22.8%
5 years -57.3%-45.4%— +67.6%
5 years, per year -15.7%-11.4%— +10.9%
10 years -61.8%-54.8%— +262.0%
10 years, per year -9.2%-7.6%— +13.7%

Risk

MeasureARINLYTWODSPY
Volatility, 1Y 45.4%21.7%6.2% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 60.8%23.0%8.4% 12.6%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.590.550.04 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.79-0.49-0.26 0.94
Max drawdown, 5Y -60.4%-57.7%-4.1% -25.4%
From 52-week high -42.4%-24.3%-2.7% -1.2%
52-week high $11.22$24.40$26.37 $779.14
52-week low $6.20$17.72$25.11 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleARINLYTWOD
P/E now vs peer median 7.1xmedian 11.7x 14.8xmedian 11.7x -36.5xmedian 11.7x
P/S now vs peer median 3.5xmedian 2.7x 4.9xmedian 2.7x 5.6xmedian 2.7x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median -0.8xmedian 13.1x 7.8xmedian 13.1x —median 13.1x
P/FCF now vs peer median 38.7xmedian 6.5x 3.9xmedian 6.5x 21.2xmedian 6.5x
P/B now vs peer median 0.7xmedian 0.7x 0.9xmedian 0.7x 1.5xmedian 0.7x
PEG now vs peer median -7.52median 0.33 0.47median 0.33 0.03median 0.33

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsARINLYTWOD
Revenue $237.89M $2.97B $482.19M
Net income $132.00M $1.13B -$21.68M
Free cash flow $21.41M $3.72B $127.22M
EPS (diluted) $0.91 $1.25 $-0.70
Cash & equivalents $1.24B $2.18B $642.69M
Total debt $16.76B $38.38B $115.68M
Shares (diluted) 131.60M 764.36M 105.43M
Enterprise value -$1.45B $4.90B -$39.17M

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricARINLYTWOD
P/E 7.1x 14.8x -36.5x
P/FCF 38.7x 3.9x 21.2x
P/Operating cash flow 9.6x 3.9x 21.2x
P/S 3.5x 4.9x 5.6x
P/B 0.7x 0.9x 1.5x
P/Tangible book 0.7x 1.2x -4.6x
EV/EBITDA -0.8x 7.8x –
EV/EBIT -0.8x 7.8x 5.4x
EV/Revenue -1.7x 17.1x 4.5x
EV/FCF -19.2x 13.6x 17.1x
EV/Operating cash flow -4.8x 13.6x 17.1x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -7.52 0.47 0.03

Growth

14 metrics
MetricARINLYTWOD
Revenue growth (1Y) -14.7% 51.6% 3.5%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) -11.5% 59.3% 41.6%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) – – –
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – – –
Net income growth (1Y) 3,268% -24.7% 92.8%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -3.0% 36.3% -40.5%
EPS growth (1Y) 806.5% -38.9% 79.2%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -0.9% 31.5% -1,161%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -56.7% 30.1% -54.1%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -35.9% 19.3% -43.8%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -58.2% 30.1% -54.1%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -56.8% 19.3% -43.8%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricARINLYTWOD
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 206.3% 219.8% –
Operating margin – – –
Pretax margin 55.6% 38.7% -1.0%
Net margin 50.3% 32.0% -15.3%
FCF margin 9.0% 125.1% 26.4%
Operating cash flow margin 36.3% 125.1% 26.4%
Return on equity 8.6% 6.9% -1.2%
Return on assets 2.2% 0.8% -0.2%
Return on invested capital 10.6% 12.2% 21.7%
Return on capital employed – – –
Asset turnover 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.7x 3.3x -5.9x
Stock comp / revenue 5.4% – 2.2%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricARINLYTWOD
Debt / assets – 26.3% 1.3%
Debt / equity – 2.4x 0.1x
Net debt / EBITDA – 5.5x –
Debt / FCF – 10.3x 0.9x
Liabilities / assets 41.3% 89.1% 80.2%
Equity / assets 58.7% 10.9% 19.8%
Interest coverage 1.3x 1.2x 1.0x
Current ratio – – –
Quick ratio – – –
Cash ratio – – –
Altman Z-score – – –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricARINLYTWOD
Dividend yield 120.0% 15.7% –
Net buyback yield 14.9% -15.7% 0.0%
Shareholder yield 134.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Payout ratio (earnings) 106.8% – -685.8%
Payout ratio (FCF) 658.4% – 116.8%
Dividend growth (1Y) -9.2% – -21.0%
Dividend CAGR (3Y) -11.2% – -13.3%

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusARINLYTWOD
Forward P/E – 6.1xFY2026 –
EPS, next fiscal year $-2.22FY2026 $3.01FY2026 –
EPS growth, next FY -311.4%FY2026 +3.1%FY2026 –
EPS growth, the year after – -0.3% –
Revenue, next fiscal year $146.72MFY2026 $2.65BFY2026 $19.93MFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY -46.0%FY2026 +18.4%FY2026 –
Revenue growth, the year after -15.9% +1.7% +127.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersARINLYTWOD
Held by institutions 61.8% 58.3% –
Institutions holding 283 793 –
Change in shares held, QoQ -5.8% +4.6% –
Institutions buying 145 453 –
Institutions selling 83 208 –
Buyers to sellers 1.75 2.18 –

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ARINLYTWOD
ARI 1.00 0.14 -0.01
NLY 0.14 1.00 0.17
TWOD -0.01 0.17 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ARI, NLY and TWOD?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is the largest by market capitalisation: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) $306.59M, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) $13.94B, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) $2.69B.

Which stock is cheaper, ARI, NLY and TWOD?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 2.6x, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 14.7x, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) -36.5x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -14.7%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) +51.6%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) +3.5%.

Which company is more profitable?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) has the highest net margin (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 50.3%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 32.0%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) -15.3%). On return on invested capital, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) leads (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 10.6%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 12.2%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) 21.7%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) returned the most: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -36.0%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) -10.6%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) -1.6%. Over five years, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) compounded fastest (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -15.7%/yr, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) -11.4%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) has the highest dividend yield: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 0.46%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 0.00%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) 0.06%. Annaly Capital Management (NLY) pays no regular dividend.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) has been the steadiest (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 45.4%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 21.7%, Two Harbors Investment (TWOD) 6.2%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, ARI, NLY and TWOD?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) leads on 4. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.