ARI vs EFC vs NLY Stock Comparison

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Ellington Financial and Annaly Capital Management Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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EFC Ellington Financial Inc.
$11.76 -3.6% 1M -12.0% 1Y
Market cap
$1.50B
P/E
8.8x
Revenue (TTM)
$455.40M
Div. yield
13.27%
Mortgage REITs Financial Services
5 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Ellington Financial leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Ellington Financial 5, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance 4, Annaly Capital Management 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionARIEFCNLYLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $841.07M $1.50B $14.34B NLY
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 7.2x 8.8x 14.7x ARI
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — 6.1x 6.1x EFC
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months -14.7% +44.8% +51.6% NLY
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 50.3% 37.3% 32.0% ARI
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 10.6% 22.6% 12.2% EFC
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA — — 5.5x –
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 118.14% 13.27% 15.87% ARI
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -35.4% -12.0% -13.2% EFC
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -15.4%/yr -8.3%/yr -11.6%/yr EFC
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 45.4% 18.4% 21.7% EFC
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 54/100 42/100 53/100 ARI

Percentile Scorecard

ARIEFCNLY

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisARIEFCNLY
Valuation 62 #65 of 169 33 #114 of 169 55 #77 of 169
Growth 28 #117 of 162 61 #64 of 162 79 #35 of 162
Profitability 57 #65 of 149 43 #86 of 149 84 #25 of 149
Financial Health 90 #16 of 158 62 #61 of 158 29 #113 of 158
Shareholder Returns 33 #91 of 136 10 #122 of 136 18 #112 of 136
Overall 54 42 53
  • ARI ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit
  • EFC ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit
  • NLY ranked among 174 companies in Lending and Credit

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodARIEFCNLYSPY
1 month +5.8%-3.6%-10.2% +0.9%
3 months -0.8%-12.6%-20.7% +5.9%
6 months -38.9%-10.8%-18.9% +8.5%
Year to date -32.2%-13.4%-18.3% +13.3%
1 year -35.4%-12.0%-13.2% +12.4%
3 years -29.7%-2.1%+24.0% +88.1%
3 years, per year -11.1%-0.7%+7.4% +23.5%
5 years -56.7%-35.3%-46.0% +68.2%
5 years, per year -15.4%-8.3%-11.6% +11.0%
10 years -61.2%-26.2%-55.3% +263.4%
10 years, per year -9.0%-3.0%-7.7% +13.8%

Risk

MeasureARIEFCNLYSPY
Volatility, 1Y 45.4%18.4%21.7% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 60.8%19.9%23.1% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.580.410.55 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.78-0.65-0.61 0.98
Max drawdown, 5Y -60.4%-41.2%-57.7% -25.4%
From 52-week high -41.5%-16.1%-25.1% -0.9%
52-week high $11.22$14.01$24.40 $779.14
52-week low $6.20$11.30$17.72 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleARIEFCNLY
P/E now vs peer median 7.2xmedian 11.4x 8.8xmedian 11.4x 14.7xmedian 11.4x
P/S now vs peer median 3.5xmedian 2.7x 3.3xmedian 2.7x 4.8xmedian 2.7x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median -0.8xmedian 11.3x —median 11.3x 7.7xmedian 11.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 39.3xmedian 6.9x -2.4xmedian 6.9x 3.9xmedian 6.9x
P/B now vs peer median 0.7xmedian 0.7x 0.8xmedian 0.7x 0.9xmedian 0.7x
PEG now vs peer median -7.63median 0.34 —median 0.34 0.47median 0.34

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsARIEFCNLY
Revenue $237.89M $455.40M $2.97B
Net income $132.00M $225.90M $1.13B
Free cash flow $21.41M -$617.48M $3.72B
EPS (diluted) $0.91 – $1.25
Cash & equivalents $1.24B $247.47M $2.18B
Total debt $16.76B $1.01B $38.38B
Shares (diluted) 131.60M – 764.36M
Enterprise value -$910.94M $736.38M $5.37B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricARIEFCNLY
P/E 7.2x 8.8x 14.7x
P/FCF 39.3x -2.4x 3.9x
P/Operating cash flow 9.7x -2.4x 3.9x
P/S 3.5x 3.3x 4.8x
P/B 0.7x 0.8x 0.9x
P/Tangible book 0.7x 0.8x 1.2x
EV/EBITDA -0.8x – 7.7x
EV/EBIT -0.8x 2.9x 7.8x
EV/Revenue -1.7x 3.3x 17.0x
EV/FCF -18.6x -2.4x 13.6x
EV/Operating cash flow -4.6x -2.4x 13.6x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -7.63 – 0.47

Growth

14 metrics
MetricARIEFCNLY
Revenue growth (1Y) -14.7% 44.8% 51.6%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) -11.5% 27.5% 59.3%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) – – –
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – – –
Net income growth (1Y) 3,268% 56.5% -24.7%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -3.0% 62.6% 36.3%
EPS growth (1Y) 806.5% – -38.9%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -0.9% – 31.5%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -56.7% 0.3% 30.1%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -35.9% -67.8% 19.3%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -58.2% 0.3% 30.1%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -56.8% -67.7% 19.3%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricARIEFCNLY
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 206.3% – 219.8%
Operating margin – – –
Pretax margin 55.6% 37.2% 38.7%
Net margin 50.3% 37.3% 32.0%
FCF margin 9.0% -135.6% 125.1%
Operating cash flow margin 36.3% -135.6% 125.1%
Return on equity 8.6% 11.4% 6.9%
Return on assets 2.2% 1.1% 0.8%
Return on invested capital 10.6% 22.6% 12.2%
Return on capital employed – – –
Asset turnover 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.7x -2.7x 3.3x
Stock comp / revenue 5.4% – –

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricARIEFCNLY
Debt / assets – 1.2% 26.3%
Debt / equity – 0.1x 2.4x
Net debt / EBITDA – – 5.5x
Debt / FCF – -0.4x 10.3x
Liabilities / assets 41.3% 90.5% 89.1%
Equity / assets 58.7% 9.5% 10.9%
Interest coverage 1.3x 1.5x 1.2x
Current ratio – – –
Quick ratio – – –
Cash ratio – – –
Altman Z-score – – –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricARIEFCNLY
Dividend yield 118.1% 13.3% 15.9%
Net buyback yield 14.7% -18.9% -15.9%
Shareholder yield 132.8% -5.7% 0.0%
Payout ratio (earnings) 106.8% – –
Payout ratio (FCF) 658.4% – –
Dividend growth (1Y) -9.2% – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) -11.2% – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusARIEFCNLY
Forward P/E – 6.1xFY2026 6.1xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $-2.22FY2026 $1.94FY2026 $3.01FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -311.4%FY2026 +4.3%FY2026 +3.1%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after – -2.6% -0.3%
Revenue, next fiscal year $146.72MFY2026 $532.59MFY2026 $2.65BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY -46.0%FY2026 +58.3%FY2026 +18.4%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after -15.9% +2.4% +1.7%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersARIEFCNLY
Held by institutions 61.8% 50.4% 58.3%
Institutions holding 282 247 792
Change in shares held, QoQ -5.8% +2.9% +4.6%
Institutions buying 144 139 453
Institutions selling 83 57 207
Buyers to sellers 1.73 2.44 2.19

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ARIEFCNLY
ARI 1.00 0.19 0.14
EFC 0.19 1.00 0.65
NLY 0.14 0.65 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ARI, EFC and NLY?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is the largest by market capitalisation: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) $841.07M, Ellington Financial (EFC) $1.50B, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) $14.34B.

Which stock is cheaper, ARI, EFC and NLY?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 7.2x, Ellington Financial (EFC) 8.8x, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 14.7x). On next year's consensus earnings, Ellington Financial (EFC) is cheapest (Ellington Financial (EFC) 6.1x, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 6.1x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -14.7%, Ellington Financial (EFC) +44.8%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) +51.6%.

Which company is more profitable?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) has the highest net margin (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 50.3%, Ellington Financial (EFC) 37.3%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 32.0%). On return on invested capital, Ellington Financial (EFC) leads (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 10.6%, Ellington Financial (EFC) 22.6%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 12.2%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Ellington Financial (EFC) returned the most: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -35.4%, Ellington Financial (EFC) -12.0%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) -13.2%. Over five years, Ellington Financial (EFC) compounded fastest (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) -15.4%/yr, Ellington Financial (EFC) -8.3%/yr, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) -11.6%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) has the highest dividend yield: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 118.14%, Ellington Financial (EFC) 13.27%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 15.87%.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Ellington Financial (EFC) has been the steadiest (Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) 45.4%, Ellington Financial (EFC) 18.4%, Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 21.7%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, ARI, EFC and NLY?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Ellington Financial (EFC) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.