ACGL vs HCI vs PGR Stock Comparison

Arch Capital, Hci and Progressive Prices as of Nov 3, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd.
$107.79 +15.2% 1M +25.3% 1Y
Market cap
$37.91B
P/E
8.1x
Revenue (TTM)
$19.23B
Div. yield
0.00%
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
4 wins
HCI HCI Group, Inc.
$201.72 +9.5% 1M -0.2% 1Y
Market cap
$2.49B
P/E
8.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$952.13M
Div. yield
0.01%
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
6 wins
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/
$229.17 +9.0% 1M +12.5% 1Y
Market cap
$136.45B
P/E
11.7x
Revenue (TTM)
$91.74B
Div. yield
0.06%
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
2 wins

Head to Head

12 decided of 12

Hci leads on 6 of the 12 questions below (Hci 6, Arch Capital 4, Progressive 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionACGLHCIPGRLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $37.91B $2.49B $136.45B PGR
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 8.1x 8.3x 11.7x ACGL
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 10.5x 9.1x 12.9x HCI
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +0.4% +22.8% +7.7% HCI
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 24.2% 31.3% 12.7% HCI
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 16.7% 28.7% 27.7% HCI
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA — -1.9x 0.2x HCI
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.01% 0.06% PGR
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +25.3% -0.2% +12.5% ACGL
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +20.7%/yr +8.5%/yr +19.4%/yr ACGL
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 21.0% 29.4% 27.7% ACGL
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 73/100 86/100 62/100 HCI

Percentile Scorecard

ACGLHCIPGR

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisACGLHCIPGR
Valuation 64 #43 of 119 73 #33 of 119 39 #73 of 119
Growth 61 #46 of 116 99 #2 of 116 55 #53 of 116
Profitability 83 #21 of 116 97 #5 of 116 78 #26 of 116
Financial Health 81 #23 of 118 97 #4 of 118 68 #38 of 118
Shareholder Returns 77 #26 of 109 62 #42 of 109 71 #32 of 109
Overall 73 86 62
  • ACGL ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • HCI ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • PGR ranked among 126 companies in Insurance

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodACGLHCIPGRSPY
1 month +15.2%+9.5%+9.0% -2.0%
3 months +8.3%+12.9%+8.8% -2.2%
6 months +14.5%+30.3%+15.9% +4.2%
Year to date +12.4%+5.2%+0.6% +10.6%
1 year +25.3%-0.2%+12.5% +10.4%
3 years +26.0%+221.8%+46.7% +73.6%
3 years, per year +8.0%+47.7%+13.6% +20.2%
5 years +155.5%+50.6%+142.3% +61.6%
5 years, per year +20.7%+8.5%+19.4% +10.1%
10 years +315.5%+682.5%+631.0% +261.3%
10 years, per year +15.3%+22.8%+22.0% +13.7%

Risk

MeasureACGLHCIPGRSPY
Volatility, 1Y 21.0%29.4%27.7% 12.8%
Downside volatility, 1Y 22.3%28.9%30.3% 12.8%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y -0.370.04-0.52 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 1.20-0.010.45 0.81
Max drawdown, 5Y -26.2%-79.0%-34.6% -25.4%
From 52-week high -1.4%-2.4%-3.0% -3.2%
52-week high $109.31$206.71$236.36 $779.14
52-week low $86.00$148.98$190.40 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleACGLHCIPGR
P/E now vs peer median 8.0xmedian 10.9x 8.3xmedian 10.9x 11.5xmedian 10.9x
P/S now vs peer median 1.9xmedian 1.4x 2.6xmedian 1.4x 1.4xmedian 1.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median —median 7.3x 3.4xmedian 7.3x 8.9xmedian 7.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 6.1xmedian 8.7x 6.5xmedian 8.7x 8.7xmedian 8.7x
P/B now vs peer median 1.5xmedian 1.6x 2.1xmedian 1.6x 3.9xmedian 1.6x
PEG now vs peer median 0.25median 0.60 0.05median 0.60 0.18median 0.60

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsACGLHCIPGR
Revenue $19.23B $952.13M $91.74B
Gross profit $10.47B $697.37M $34.33B
Operating income $5.33B $464.99M $15.01B
Net income $4.69B $343.83M $11.62B
Free cash flow $6.06B $388.86M $15.22B
EPS (diluted) $13.34 $23.55 $19.96
Cash & equivalents $1.11B $872.34M $156.00M
Total debt $4.30B $36.00M $8.39B
Shares (diluted) 348.80M 12.66M 582.20M
Enterprise value $32.02B -$1.85B $111.97B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricACGLHCIPGR
P/E 8.0x 8.3x 11.5x
P/FCF 6.1x 6.5x 8.7x
P/Operating cash flow 6.0x 6.1x 8.5x
P/S 1.9x 2.6x 1.4x
P/B 1.5x 2.1x 3.9x
P/Tangible book 1.5x 2.1x 3.9x
EV/EBITDA – 3.4x 8.9x
EV/EBIT 7.5x 3.5x 9.1x
EV/Revenue 2.1x 1.7x 1.5x
EV/FCF 6.6x 4.2x 8.9x
EV/Operating cash flow 6.6x 3.9x 8.7x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.25 0.05 0.18

Growth

14 metrics
MetricACGLHCIPGR
Revenue growth (1Y) 0.4% 22.8% 7.7%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 18.5% 23.7% 16.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 10.4% 60.2% 6.1%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 22.6% 60.5% –
Operating income growth (1Y) 26.3% 103.4% 8.8%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) 109.0% 322.4% –
Net income growth (1Y) 25.7% 117.6% 8.5%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 27.4% 185.4% 61.8%
EPS growth (1Y) 37.2% 109.9% 9.6%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 31.4% 162.9% 63.0%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -1.2% -15.3% -9.9%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) 10.9% 204.4% 19.7%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -1.2% -16.7% -10.7%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) 11.0% 169.8% 19.5%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricACGLHCIPGR
Gross margin 54.4% 73.2% 37.4%
EBITDA margin – 49.8% 16.7%
Operating margin 27.7% 48.8% 16.4%
Pretax margin 26.9% 48.4% 16.0%
Net margin 24.2% 31.3% 12.7%
FCF margin 31.5% 40.8% 16.6%
Operating cash flow margin 31.7% 43.2% 17.1%
Return on equity 18.6% 29.3% 33.8%
Return on assets 5.4% 13.1% 9.2%
Return on invested capital 16.7% 28.7% 27.7%
Return on capital employed – – –
Asset turnover 0.2x 0.4x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 1.3x 1.2x 1.3x
Stock comp / revenue 0.8% 1.3% 0.1%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricACGLHCIPGR
Debt / assets 5.0% 1.4% 6.6%
Debt / equity 0.2x 0.0x 0.2x
Net debt / EBITDA – -1.9x 0.2x
Debt / FCF 0.7x 0.1x 0.6x
Liabilities / assets 71.8% 55.7% 73.0%
Equity / assets 28.2% 44.3% 27.0%
Interest coverage 34.2x 115.2x 47.8x
Current ratio – – –
Quick ratio – – –
Cash ratio – – –
Altman Z-score – – –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricACGLHCIPGR
Dividend yield 0.0% 0.8% 6.1%
Net buyback yield 9.3% 3.0% 1.2%
Shareholder yield 9.3% 3.8% 7.2%
Payout ratio (earnings) 0.1% 5.6% 70.1%
Payout ratio (FCF) 0.1% 4.9% 53.5%
Dividend growth (1Y) -99.7% – 183.8%
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – 226.5%

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusACGLHCIPGR
Forward P/E 10.5xFY2026 9.1xFY2026 12.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $10.24FY2026 $22.21FY2026 $17.71FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +3.7%FY2026 -2.2%FY2026 -1.9%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after -9.2% -15.2% -11.2%
Revenue, next fiscal year $16.72BFY2026 $1.02BFY2026 $91.77BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +1.4%FY2026 +13.2%FY2026 +10.3%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after -5.0% +7.0% -4.9%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersACGLHCIPGR
Held by institutions 91.0% 75.5% 87.2%
Institutions holding 905 287 1,827
Change in shares held, QoQ -1.7% +7.6% +0.5%
Institutions buying 429 163 896
Institutions selling 365 83 695
Buyers to sellers 1.18 1.96 1.29

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ACGLHCIPGR
ACGL 1.00 0.36 0.62
HCI 0.36 1.00 0.39
PGR 0.62 0.39 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ACGL, HCI and PGR?

Progressive (PGR) is the largest by market capitalisation: Arch Capital (ACGL) $37.91B, Hci (HCI) $2.49B, Progressive (PGR) $136.45B.

Which stock is cheaper, ACGL, HCI and PGR?

Arch Capital (ACGL) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Arch Capital (ACGL) 8.1x, Hci (HCI) 8.3x, Progressive (PGR) 11.7x). On next year's consensus earnings, Hci (HCI) is cheapest (Arch Capital (ACGL) 10.5x, Hci (HCI) 9.1x, Progressive (PGR) 12.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Hci (HCI) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Arch Capital (ACGL) +0.4%, Hci (HCI) +22.8%, Progressive (PGR) +7.7%.

Which company is more profitable?

Hci (HCI) has the highest net margin (Arch Capital (ACGL) 24.2%, Hci (HCI) 31.3%, Progressive (PGR) 12.7%). On return on invested capital, Hci (HCI) leads (Arch Capital (ACGL) 16.7%, Hci (HCI) 28.7%, Progressive (PGR) 27.7%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Arch Capital (ACGL) returned the most: Arch Capital (ACGL) +25.3%, Hci (HCI) -0.2%, Progressive (PGR) +12.5%. Over five years, Arch Capital (ACGL) compounded fastest (Arch Capital (ACGL) +20.7%/yr, Hci (HCI) +8.5%/yr, Progressive (PGR) +19.4%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Progressive (PGR) has the highest dividend yield: Arch Capital (ACGL) 0.00%, Hci (HCI) 0.01%, Progressive (PGR) 0.06%.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Arch Capital (ACGL) has been the steadiest (Arch Capital (ACGL) 21.0%, Hci (HCI) 29.4%, Progressive (PGR) 27.7%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, ACGL, HCI and PGR?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Hci (HCI) leads on 6. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.