AAL vs AERO vs GEO Stock Comparison

American Airlines, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V and Geo Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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GEO Geo Group Inc
$25.14 -16.0% 1M +49.6% 1Y
Market cap
$3.33B
P/E
11.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
7 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Geo leads on 7 of the 12 questions below (Geo 7, American Airlines 2, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionAALAEROGEOLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $8.57B $2.28B $3.33B AAL
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -17.8x 14.2x 11.3x GEO
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — 44.7x 18.2x GEO
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +12.3% +8.8% +15.3% GEO
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -0.8% 3.6% 10.3% GEO
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 3.2% — 7.5% GEO
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 8.1x -0.4x 3.3x AERO
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -3.7% — +49.6% GEO
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -9.9%/yr — +21.3%/yr GEO
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 47.0% 54.3% 50.0% AAL
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 27/100 58/100 57/100 AERO

Percentile Scorecard

AALAEROGEO

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisAALAEROGEO
Valuation 63 #52 of 137 98 #4 of 137 56 #51 of 114
Growth 14 #110 of 127 15 #108 of 127 58 #42 of 98
Profitability 23 #96 of 125 54 #58 of 125 59 #40 of 95
Financial Health 8 #136 of 147 65 #52 of 147 34 #83 of 126
Shareholder Returns – – 77 #17 of 71
Overall 27 58 57
  • AAL ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • AERO ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • GEO ranked among 131 companies in Business Services

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodAALAEROGEOSPY
1 month -0.5%-6.6%-16.0% -5.9%
3 months -19.3%-0.1%-16.6% -4.6%
6 months -1.9%-4.3%+18.5% +0.2%
Year to date -15.7%-28.8%+56.0% +7.5%
1 year -3.7%—+49.6% +8.2%
3 years +10.9%—+180.9% +68.3%
3 years, per year +3.5%—+41.1% +19.0%
5 years -40.7%—+163.0% +56.5%
5 years, per year -9.9%—+21.3% +9.4%
10 years -67.5%—+59.9% +251.5%
10 years, per year -10.6%—+4.8% +13.4%

Risk

MeasureAALAEROGEOSPY
Volatility, 1Y 47.0%54.3%50.0% 13.6%
Downside volatility, 1Y 45.2%56.5%52.4% 14.2%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.811.610.90 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.08—0.99 0.60
Max drawdown, 5Y -59.3%-46.0%-62.5% -25.4%
From 52-week high -28.8%-31.8%-23.3% -5.9%
52-week high $18.15$22.91$32.78 $779.14
52-week low $10.18$12.36$13.26 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleAALAEROGEO
P/E now vs peer median -17.8xmedian 14.1x 14.2xmedian 14.1x 11.3xmedian 21.1x
P/S now vs peer median 0.1xmedian 0.9x 0.5xmedian 0.9x 1.2xmedian 0.9x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 11.1xmedian 7.8x 1.5xmedian 7.8x 10.5xmedian 11.7x
P/FCF now vs peer median -94.2xmedian 11.7x 3.6xmedian 11.7x 125.8xmedian 15.3x
P/B now vs peer median -2.0xmedian 1.2x -3.8xmedian 1.2x 2.2xmedian 2.3x
PEG now vs peer median 0.56median 0.68 —median 0.68 0.44median 0.88

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsAALAEROGEO
Revenue $60.98B $4.40B $2.83B
Operating income $972.00M $635.00M $315.54M
Net income -$481.00M $120.00M $291.54M
Free cash flow -$91.00M $630.00M $26.44M
EPS (diluted) $-0.73 $1.09 $2.21
Cash & equivalents – $965.00M $54.99M
Total debt $30.57B $475.00M $1.54B
Shares (diluted) 662.71M 145.90M 132.02M
Enterprise value -$16.61B -$1.79B $2.94B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricAALAEROGEO
P/E -17.8x 14.2x 11.3x
P/FCF -94.2x 3.6x 125.8x
P/Operating cash flow 2.0x 3.6x 16.7x
P/S 0.1x 0.5x 1.2x
P/B -2.0x -3.8x 2.2x
P/Tangible book -1.4x -3.8x 2.4x
EV/EBITDA 11.1x 1.5x 10.5x
EV/EBIT 32.9x 2.8x 15.3x
EV/Revenue 0.5x 0.4x 1.7x
EV/FCF -351.3x 2.8x 182.1x
EV/Operating cash flow 7.5x 2.8x 24.2x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.56 – 0.44

Growth

14 metrics
MetricAALAEROGEO
Revenue growth (1Y) 12.3% 8.8% 15.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 4.8% – 5.0%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) -54.8% -2.6% 11.4%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -36.3% – -7.0%
Net income growth (1Y) -179.9% -38.0% 222.2%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -32.0% – 28.5%
EPS growth (1Y) -179.6% -43.3% 242.8%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -31.9% – 25.6%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) 13.2% – -16.6%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -5.1% – -4.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -110.3% – -79.8%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -26.7% – -42.6%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricAALAEROGEO
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 4.7% 27.6% 16.1%
Operating margin 1.6% 14.4% 11.2%
Pretax margin -0.9% 5.5% 14.0%
Net margin -0.8% 3.6% 10.3%
FCF margin -0.1% 14.3% 0.9%
Operating cash flow margin 7.0% 14.3% 7.0%
Return on equity – – 19.4%
Return on assets -0.7% 2.9% 7.7%
Return on invested capital 3.2% – 7.5%
Return on capital employed 2.7% 10.0% 9.3%
Asset turnover 0.9x 0.6x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) -8.9x 5.3x 0.7x
Stock comp / revenue – – 0.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricAALAEROGEO
Debt / assets 47.0% 6.4% 41.2%
Debt / equity -7.2x -0.8x 1.0x
Net debt / EBITDA 8.1x -0.4x 3.3x
Debt / FCF -335.9x 0.8x 58.3x
Liabilities / assets 106.5% 108.0% 59.5%
Equity / assets -6.5% -8.0% 40.5%
Interest coverage 0.6x 5.8x 2.1x
Current ratio 0.5x 2.0x 1.7x
Quick ratio 0.7x 1.7x 1.5x
Cash ratio 0.3x 0.9x 0.1x
Altman Z-score 0.66 – 2.15

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricAALAEROGEO
Dividend yield – – –
Net buyback yield – – 5.2%
Shareholder yield 0.0% 0.0% 5.2%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusAALAEROGEO
Forward P/E – 44.7xFY2026 18.2xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $-1.26FY2026 $0.35FY2026 $1.38FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -450.0%FY2026 -85.5%FY2026 +60.5%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after – +408.6% +40.6%
Revenue, next fiscal year $59.91BFY2026 $5.78BFY2026 $3.17BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +9.7%FY2026 +7.8%FY2026 +20.6%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +8.2% +15.0% -1.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersAALAEROGEO
Held by institutions 78.0% 65.1% 94.2%
Institutions holding 580 75 292
Change in shares held, QoQ +16.5% -1.5% -2.2%
Institutions buying 277 32 151
Institutions selling 182 17 97
Buyers to sellers 1.52 1.88 1.56

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

AALAEROGEO
AAL 1.00 0.45 0.13
AERO 0.45 1.00 0.03
GEO 0.13 0.03 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, AAL, AERO and GEO?

American Airlines (AAL) is the largest by market capitalisation: American Airlines (AAL) $8.57B, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) $2.28B, Geo (GEO) $3.33B.

Which stock is cheaper, AAL, AERO and GEO?

Geo (GEO) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (American Airlines (AAL) -17.8x, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 14.2x, Geo (GEO) 11.3x). On next year's consensus earnings, Geo (GEO) is cheapest (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 44.7x, Geo (GEO) 18.2x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Geo (GEO) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: American Airlines (AAL) +12.3%, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) +8.8%, Geo (GEO) +15.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

Geo (GEO) has the highest net margin (American Airlines (AAL) -0.8%, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 3.6%, Geo (GEO) 10.3%). On return on invested capital, Geo (GEO) leads (American Airlines (AAL) 3.2%, Geo (GEO) 7.5%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Geo (GEO) returned the most: American Airlines (AAL) -3.7%, Geo (GEO) +49.6%. Over five years, Geo (GEO) compounded fastest (American Airlines (AAL) -9.9%/yr, Geo (GEO) +21.3%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, American Airlines (AAL) has been the steadiest (American Airlines (AAL) 47.0%, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 54.3%, Geo (GEO) 50.0%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, AAL, AERO and GEO?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Geo (GEO) leads on 7. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.