Zillow Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZG)

Sector: Communication Services Industry: Internet Content & Information CIK: 0001617640
Market Cap 14.76 Bn
P/B 2.96
P/E -461.36
P/S 5.95
ROIC (Qtr) -1.47
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 16.35
Total Debt (Qtr) 367.00 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.07

About

Zillow Group, Inc., commonly known as Zillow, operates as a leading online real estate marketplace in the United States. The company, which trades under the ticker symbol ZG, is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and is renowned for its extensive range of services and products that facilitate residential real estate transactions, including buying, selling, renting, and financing. Zillow's primary business activities revolve around providing a comprehensive platform for real estate transactions. The company's offerings include Zillow, Trulia,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 418M provides robust 1.14x coverage of total debt 367M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 879M provide 3.08x coverage of short-term debt 285M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.60B provides 7.09x coverage of total debt 367M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 418M provides exceptional 19.90x coverage of interest expenses 21M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 279M exceeds capital expenditure of 139M by 2.01x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of 318M provide weak support for R&D spending of 602M, which is 0.53x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 879M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (7M), which is -125.57x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 418M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 414M, with a 1.01 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (8M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 269M, with a -0.03 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 279M represents just -0.35x of debt issuance (794M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Internet Content & Information
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GOOGL Alphabet Inc. 4,538.16 Bn 131.46 27.23 33.71 Bn
2 META Meta Platforms, Inc. 1,747.49 Bn 74.30 23.25 51.06 Bn
3 SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. 103.00 Bn 62.32 5.18 2.57 Bn
4 BIDU Baidu, Inc. 62.73 Bn 49.63 3.42 13.66 Bn
5 RDDT Reddit, Inc. 32.18 Bn 92.16 16.90 0.03 Bn
6 NBIS Nebius Group N.V. 27.81 Bn 127.53 81.80 4.51 Bn
7 TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group 24.66 Bn 15.77 5.54 0.54 Bn
8 PINS Pinterest, Inc. 16.95 Bn 8.53 4.18 0.21 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.54 1.10
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 34.69 -3.08
EV to Debt EV to Debt 39.51 28.98
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -1,812.43 -26.54
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 81.92 9.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 51.97 -67.01
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.98 0.90
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.84 61.25
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.96 1.56
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -461.36 2.92
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.33
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -8.92
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.31
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -0.38 -202.56
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 2.80 -24.06
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -18.23 175.36
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.94
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 90.60 31.53
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 669.57 -472.14
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 91.01 32.66
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 76.98 -25.80
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 75.44 -18.36
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 12.05 20.83
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 12.80 19.58
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.44 0.74
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.51 1.54
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.63 3.38
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.07 -0.39
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -0.38 -202.56
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -0.38 -202.56
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.50 -4,283.87
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -0.32 -4,786.62
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -1.17 -5,002.12
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 74.90 58.65
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.30 -5,003.08