Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery CIK: 0001657573
Market Cap 2.81 Bn
P/B 10.35
P/E -44.66
P/S 4.38
ROIC (Qtr) -7.96
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 27.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 333.46 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.23
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About

Xometry, Inc., under the ticker symbol XMTR, operates as a global, artificial intelligence (AI) powered online marketplace connecting buyers and suppliers of manufacturing services. The company is at the forefront of driving the digital transformation of one of the world's largest industries through its main business activities that provide a platform for buyers to source custom-manufactured parts and assemblies, while empowering suppliers to grow their manufacturing businesses. Xometry generates revenue primarily through the prices it charges...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 20.84M provide 8.18x coverage of short-term debt 2.55M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Tangible assets of 405.65M provide exceptional 35.83x coverage of deferred revenue 11.32M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Short-term investments of 203.67M provide solid 4.49x coverage of other current liabilities 45.36M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 405.65M provide robust 8.94x coverage of other current liabilities 45.36M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • R&D investment of 45.07M represents healthy 3.98x of deferred revenue 11.32M, indicating strong future innovation pipeline.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 10.76M barely covers its investment activities of (11.43M), with a coverage ratio of -0.94, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (11.43M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 45.07M, which is -0.25x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.76M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 11.32M, which is 0.95x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Short-term investments of 203.67M significantly exceed cash reserves of 20.84M, which is 9.77x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • High receivables of 98.89M relative to inventory of 4.24M (23.32 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Industrial Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GEV GE Vernova Inc. 224.93 Bn 194.57 6.14 0.00 Bn
2 ETN Eaton Corp plc 153.13 Bn 38.99 5.75 11.22 Bn
3 PH Parker-Hannifin Corp 135.87 Bn 165.29 12.09 9.87 Bn
4 EMR Emerson Electric Co 111.68 Bn 47.10 4.65 13.41 Bn
5 ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc 86.68 Bn 28.27 5.40 8.97 Bn
6 CMI Cummins Inc 82.13 Bn 28.89 2.44 7.55 Bn
7 AME Ametek Inc/ 53.79 Bn 36.34 7.27 2.28 Bn
8 ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc 43.80 Bn 44.24 5.11 3.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 4.48 2.28
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 291.10 37.14
EV to Debt EV to Debt 9.39 34.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -53.79 27.71
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -117.52 25.34
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -228.79 133.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.11 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.87 39.88
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 10.35 6.22
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -44.66 143.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 2.57
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 15.73
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.91
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 82.53
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -12.04 12.34
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -22.83 -45.99
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 19.59 118.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 10.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -25.47 -283.03
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 33.90 -36.87
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -24.28 -80.72
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -22.21 -120.93
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -19.05 -39.22
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 70.02 85.55
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 22.79 0.87
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.92 0.62
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.22 3.01
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.62 4.97
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.23 0.38
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -12.04 12.34
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -12.04 12.34
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -5.70 -7,291.27
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -9.06 -7,413.30
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -9.81 -9,015.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 39.30 -32.61
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -9.80 -7,962.06