Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ: XGN)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Diagnostics & Research CIK: 0001274737
Market Cap 131.20 Mn
P/B 7.23
P/E -6.89
P/S 2.06
ROIC (Qtr) -26.97
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 37.87
Total Debt (Qtr) 28.17 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.55

About

Exagen Inc. (XGN) operates in the healthcare industry, specifically focusing on providing clarity in autoimmune disease decision making to improve patients' clinical outcomes. The company has developed a portfolio of innovative testing products under the brand name AVISE, which are used for the differential diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of complex autoimmune and autoimmune-related diseases. Exagen's main business activities revolve around the development and commercialization of these testing products. They operate primarily in the United...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 35.65M provide 11.86x coverage of short-term debt 3.01M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Tangible assets of 62.82M provide exceptional 98.01x coverage of deferred revenue 641000, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Tangible assets of 62.82M provide robust 9.93x coverage of other current liabilities 6.33M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 35.65M provide robust 2.77x coverage of current liabilities 12.89M, indicating strong short-term solvency.
  • R&D investment of 6.15M represents healthy 9.60x of deferred revenue 641000, indicating strong future innovation pipeline.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of (737000) provide weak support for R&D spending of 6.15M, which is -0.12x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of (10.25M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 641000, which is -15.99x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (10.25M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 1.89M, with a -5.43 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (10.99M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 737000, with a -14.91 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (10.25M) provides minimal -204.98x coverage of tax expenses of 50000, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Diagnostics & Research
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 234.48 Bn 35.69 5.36 35.68 Bn
2 DHR Danaher Corp /De/ 171.11 Bn 48.85 7.05 16.86 Bn
3 IDXX Idexx Laboratories Inc /De 57.62 Bn 56.08 13.83 1.09 Bn
4 IQV Iqvia Holdings Inc. 42.37 Bn 33.03 2.66 15.19 Bn
5 A Agilent Technologies, Inc. 42.16 Bn 32.36 6.07 3.35 Bn
6 NTRA Natera, Inc. 31.64 Bn -102.32 14.95 0.18 Bn
7 MTD Mettler Toledo International Inc/ 30.89 Bn 36.96 7.84 2.21 Bn
8 WAT Waters Corp /De/ 23.59 Bn 36.37 7.60 1.49 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.01 2.82
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -12.33 19.55
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.49 54.87
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -8.19 18.82
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -13.16 4.36
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -11.50 17.63
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.96 1.58
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.99 5.06
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 7.23 1.35
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -6.89 18.88
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -2.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.94
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -4.35 -128.90
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -62.69 -35.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 61.80 23.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -5.40 9.72
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 24.45 -444.66
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -5.33 8.29
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -12.40 -6.03
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 2.13 15.59
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -91.19 56.57
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 16.14 185.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.01 0.57
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.77 1.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.08 2.70
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.55 -0.84
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -4.35 -128.90
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -4.35 -128.90
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -19.70 -97.22
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -24.27 -115.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -29.86 -114.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 59.90 44.76
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -29.90 -113.12