Western Union CO (NYSE: WU)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0001365135
Market Cap 3.19 Bn
P/B 3.45
P/E 4.14
P/S 0.78
ROIC (Qtr) 17.48
Div Yield % 9.83
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.59 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.80

About

The Western Union Company, often referred to as Western Union, operates as a global leader in cross-border, cross-currency money movement, payments, and digital financial services. Its brand is synonymous with speed, reliability, trust, and convenience in the industry. The company's primary activities include facilitating global money transfers, bill payments, and various other financial services to consumers and businesses. In 2023, Western Union's main business activities generated revenue primarily through the transfer of funds between individuals...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 402.80M exceeds capital expenditure of 139.50M by 2.89x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash reserves of 947.80M provide comfortable 4.40x coverage of tax obligations 215.50M, showing strong fiscal management.
  • Operating cash flow of 542.30M provides strong 3.89x coverage of capital expenditure 139.50M, enabling organic growth.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 5.33B provides 2.18x coverage of intangibles 2.45B, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 542.30M barely covers its investment activities of (85.20M), with a coverage ratio of -6.37, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 542.30M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (314.20M) with a -1.73 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 542.30M provides minimal -3.65x coverage of tax expenses of (148.60M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Retained earnings of (24.40M) provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (156.20M), which is 0.16x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 542.30M is outpaced by equity issuance of (212.20M) (-2.56 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.63 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 9.07 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.90 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.48 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 5.37 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 12.21 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.54 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.20 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.45 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 4.14 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.45 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 40.90 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.95 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 75.54 4.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.55 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -13.97 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -13.65 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.53 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 17.15 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 3.28 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 3.87 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 1.19 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 17.26 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -2.80 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -3.48 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.53 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.46 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.46
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.80 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.55 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.55 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 22.60 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 18.51 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 15.18 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 37.40 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 18.80 -23.76