Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (NYSE: WD)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Mortgage Finance CIK: 0001497770
Market Cap 1.85 Bn
P/B 3.80
P/E 22.56
P/S 3.96
ROIC (Qtr) 3.86
Div Yield % 1.08
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 15.52
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.01 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.70
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About

Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD) is a leading commercial real estate services company based in the United States. The company operates in various areas of the commercial real estate industry, providing services such as multifamily lending, property sales, appraisal, valuation, and research, as well as commercial real estate debt brokerage and advisory services, investment management, and affordable housing lending, tax credit syndication, development, and investment. The company's main business activities are divided into three reportable segments: Capital...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of (936.86M) provides exceptional 250.90x coverage of minority interest expenses (3.73M), showing strong core operations.
  • Free cash flow of (949.30M) provides excellent 10.41x coverage of dividends (91.18M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Retained earnings of 1.32B represent substantial 0.75x of equity 1.77B, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.78B provides 4.72x coverage of intangibles 1.01B, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Tangible assets of 4.78B provide robust 12.78x coverage of receivables 374.32M, showing strong asset quality.

Bear case

  • The company's operating cash flow of (936.86M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 27.33M, with a -34.28 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (949.30M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 12.44M, with a -76.29 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (936.86M) provides minimal -24.39x coverage of tax expenses of 38.41M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of 218.06M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 244.65M, with a 0.89 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (936.86M) barely covers operating expenses of 380.52M with a -2.46 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Mortgage Finance
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNMA Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae 45.24 Bn 5,026.67 1.55 4,053.14 Bn
2 RKT Rocket Companies, Inc. 37.92 Bn -371.21 6.57 19.41 Bn
3 FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp 27.03 Bn -346.50 1.16 3,405.02 Bn
4 WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. 1.85 Bn 22.56 3.96 3.01 Bn
5 PFSI PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. 1.63 Bn 113.11 4.21 19.40 Bn
6 VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. 0.71 Bn 7.90 2.27 6.15 Bn
7 BETR Better Home & Finance Holding Co 0.47 Bn -2.56 3.26 0.55 Bn
8 LDI loanDepot, Inc. 0.41 Bn -5.61 0.36 4.51 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.57 -0.29
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -2.46 -306.56
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.09 -0.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.70 74.08
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.41 34.17
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -2.45 16,800.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.77 19.32
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 7.02 21.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.80 -3.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 22.56 294.11
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.26 7.52
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 78.70 141.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.66 0.43
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -9.35 -7.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.37 -0.52
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -9.67 -24.00
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 45.41 52.20
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 3.10 1.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 9.01 10.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 10.96 393.39
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 10.57 -7.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 22.88 -41.79
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 20.28 -5.52
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -1,073.29 -27.18
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.99 15.35
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.21 0.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.10 -0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.01
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.70 15.84
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.37 -0.52
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.37 -0.52
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.40 18.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 17.65 -17.72
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 12.41 -17.90
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 72.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.30 -25.85