Viavi Solutions VIAV

NASDAQ VIAV
$34.86 +1.23 (+3.66%)
At close: Sep 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM EDT
Key Stats
Market Cap8.61 Bn
P/E-256.42
P/S5.67
Div. Yield0.00
Total Debt (Qtr)489.60 Mn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)52.53
Add ratio to table…

About

Viavi Solutions Inc. is a global provider of network test monitoring and assurance solutions for telecommunications cloud enterprises first responders military aerospace and critical infrastructure. The company also leads in optical processing technologies for anti counterfeiting 3D sensing aerospace automotive and industrial applications. Viavi Solutions Inc. generates revenue by selling test monitoring assurance and security instruments software and services that help…

Read more ↓
Sectors: Technology Basic Materials Sector rationale The primary business is the design and sale of network test, monitoring, and assurance software and hardware for telecom and datacom networks, which falls under Technology (Test and Measurement/IT Services). The company also has a substantial second business line in the Optical Security and Performance Products segment, where it manufactures specialty pigments and optical coatings for anti-counterfeiting and industrial use, which belongs in Basic Materials (Specialty Chemicals). Industries: Test and Measurement Test and Measurement Primary Viavi Solutions sells a broad portfolio of test, monitoring, and assurance instruments and software used to build and optimize telecom and datacom networks. Its Network and Service Enablement segment specifically provides test equipment for wireless, wireline, cloud, and avionics applications to customers like AT&T, Cisco, and Nokia. Specialty Chemicals Specialty Chemicals Secondary The company's Optical Security and Performance Products segment designs and manufactures formulated specialty chemicals, including Optical Variable Pigment (OVP) and Optical Variable Magnetic Pigment (OVMP) used in anti-counterfeiting inks for banknotes. IT Operations Software IT Operations Software Secondary Viavi provides AIOps solutions that utilize AI, ML, and big data analytics to automate and enhance end-to-end multi-domain network operations for IT and security teams. Classified using BQ-MICS CIK: 0000912093
Bull & bear

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • The company's recent financial performance demonstrates strong momentum with a 42.8% year-over-year revenue increase and 21% operating margin, both exceeding guidance ranges, which signals robust underlying demand that the market may be underestimating. The NSE segment's revenue growth of 54.4% year-over-year, driven by data center and aerospace and defense demand, reflects a fundamental shift in the company's revenue mix, with data center now representing a high-40s share of NSE revenue and trending toward 50%, indicating a structural shift toward higher-margin, technology-driven markets that are less cyclical than traditional telecom. Management's emphasis on the strategic importance of test packaging in co-packaged optics and silicon photonics, describing it as "the system" rather than a back-end function, reveals an unspoken catalyst where VIAVI is positioned to capture expanding test requirements from semiconductor manufacturers as chip complexity increases, a trend that is only beginning to materialize in revenue but has significant runway. The successful integration of the Spirent acquisition is enabling cross-selling opportunities beyond high-speed Ethernet, with management noting "broader discussion and more strategic discussion around not only high-speed Ethernet, but all the other products that we bring into the mix," suggesting underappreciated synergies that could drive incremental revenue and margin expansion as the combined sales force leverages the expanded customer base. The company's access to next-generation silicon through early access programs to avoid bottlenecks in test and measurement for emerging technologies represents a sustainable competitive advantage that is not fully reflected in current valuations, as it ensures VIAVI remains relevant in the development cycles of advanced semiconductors and optical components, creating a moat around its core technology offerings. The effective tax rate of approximately 12% in the quarter, driven by the utilization of net operating losses in U.S. jurisdictions where IP and R&D are concentrated, provides a significant and sustainable boost to profitability that the market may not be fully incorporating into earnings expectations, especially as pre-tax income continues to scale. The company's strategic focus on high-growth adjacencies like AI inference traffic emulation and quantum-safe cryptography validation through products such as the CyberFlood CF1000 addresses multi-terabit data center infrastructure needs, positioning VIAVI to benefit from the exponential growth in AI-driven workloads and security spending, which are long-term structural trends rather than temporary cyclical recoveries. The reduction in debt, including the $49 million payment on convertible notes and $150 million prepayment on Term Loan B, leaving $450 million outstanding, combined with the planned use of proceeds from the recent equity offering to repay the remaining Term Loan B, will significantly reduce interest expense and improve financial flexibility, enabling greater investment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns once deleveraging is complete.
▼ Bear case
  • Despite strong headline growth, the company's operating cash flow was negative $26.3 million in the quarter, a significant deterioration from the $7.8 million generated in the prior year period, primarily due to earn-out payments, working capital timing, and employee variable costs, which raises concerns about the quality of earnings and the sustainability of profitability if these cash outflows persist or worsen, suggesting that the strong accrual-based earnings may not be translating into real economic value. The increase in fully diluted share count to 249.5 million, up from 226.9 million the prior year and above guidance, reflects dilution from share issuances related to convertible note conversions and equity compensation, which could dilute earnings per share over time and counteract the benefits of operational improvements, especially if additional equity is issued to fund growth or acquisitions. The company's reliance on earn-out payments for acquisitions like Inertial Labs, which exceeded forecasts and required significant cash outlay, introduces execution risk and financial strain, as future acquisitions may similarly demand large upfront or contingent payments that could strain liquidity or force difficult capital allocation choices between debt reduction, reinvestment, and shareholder returns. The gross margin in the OSP segment declined 130 basis points year-over-year to 50.3% due to unfavorable product mix, indicating that growth in this segment may be coming from lower-margin products, which could undermine the segment's historically high profitability if the mix shift persists or accelerates, particularly as the company pursues volume in emerging areas like 3D sensing and anticounterfeiting. Management's acknowledgment that they do not anticipate near-term recovery in the wireless segment, combined with the persistent seasonal lows in the service provider business during September quarters, highlights a structural weakness in a legacy business that continues to weigh on overall performance, with no clear path to revitalization despite investments in adjacent areas like AI RAN and satellite communications. The company's guidance for fiscal Q4 assumes a sequential revenue increase driven by seasonal strength in service provider spending, but this assumes a recovery that may not materialize if macroeconomic pressures or delayed capEx by service providers suppress demand, making the outlook vulnerable to external factors beyond the company's control. The inventory increase of single-digit millions to secure supply, particularly for memory components, signals ongoing supply chain pressures that could lead to higher costs or production bottlenecks if commodity shortages persist, especially given the company's reliance on specialized components for its test and measurement equipment, which may limit its ability to respond quickly to demand spikes. The company's dependence on early access to next-generation silicon to avoid bottlenecks, while a strategic advantage, also creates vulnerability if supplier relationships deteriorate or if competitors gain similar access, potentially eroding the differentiation that underpins its premium positioning in emerging technology markets.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2026)

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2026)

Peer group

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Test and Measurement
S.No. Ticker Company matchMarket CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 TER Teradyne, Inc primary55.83 Bn50.4412.51-
2 KEYS Keysight Technologies, Inc. primary55.70 Bn43.748.463.22 Bn
3 VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. primary8.61 Bn-256.425.670.49 Bn
4 FORM Formfactor Inc primary8.12 Bn73.549.000.01 Bn
5 RAL Ralliant Corp primary7.02 Bn-5.743.211.15 Bn
6 INTT Intest Corp primary0.14 Bn142.351.110.01 Bn
7 LGL Lgl Group Inc primary0.05 Bn-281.6910.70-
8 DAIO Data I/O Corp primary0.03 Bn-3.572.01-