INNOVATE Corp. (NYSE: VATE)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Engineering & Construction CIK: 0001006837
Market Cap 65.35 Mn
P/B -0.28
P/E -0.89
P/S 0.06
ROIC (Qtr) 2.22
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 43.31
Total Debt (Qtr) 669.10 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.87

About

Innovate Corp., known by its stock symbol VATE, is a diversified holding company with a range of subsidiaries operating in various segments. Its primary business activities are carried out through three reportable segments: Infrastructure, Life Sciences, and Spectrum, along with an Other segment. The Infrastructure segment, the most significant contributor to the company's revenue, is managed by DBM Global Inc. (DBMG), a fully integrated construction company that offers a variety of services such as design-assist, modularization, fabrication, and...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M provides strong 19.31x coverage of stock compensation 4.50M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 62.70M exceeds capital expenditure of 24.20M by 2.59x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of (575.10M) represent substantial 2.47x of equity (233.30M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M provides strong 4.80x coverage of inventory 18.10M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M provides strong 4.99x coverage of operating expenses 17.40M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M barely covers its investment activities of (25M), with a coverage ratio of -3.48, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.80M) with a -48.28 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 35.50M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (1.40M), which is -25.36x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 86.90M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 175.50M, which is 0.50x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • High receivables of 265.60M relative to inventory of 18.10M (14.67 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Engineering & Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PWR Quanta Services, Inc. 62.71 Bn 61.60 2.31 6.02 Bn
2 FER Ferrovial SE 48.08 Bn 14.25 5.05 -
3 FIX Comfort Systems Usa Inc 35.76 Bn 42.69 4.30 0.39 Bn
4 EME EMCOR Group, Inc. 29.29 Bn 25.91 1.80 0.42 Bn
5 APG APi Group Corp 17.37 Bn 111.36 2.27 3.05 Bn
6 MTZ Mastec Inc 17.01 Bn 51.39 1.24 2.77 Bn
7 J Jacobs Solutions Inc. 16.94 Bn 58.56 1.41 2.71 Bn
8 BLD TopBuild Corp 13.35 Bn 23.52 2.55 3.09 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.73 1.61
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.70 6.94
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.00 11.81
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 31.29 17.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.01 13.77
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 10.68 55.77
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 10.25 1.20
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.61 1.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -0.28 5.81
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.89 35.89
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -14.33 2.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 25.81
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.24
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.25 80.15
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -284.13 -166.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -30.39 637.72
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 5.87
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -63.21 92.47
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -43.50 8.04
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -58.85 85.34
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -185.97 42.07
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -61.71 43.76
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 177.43 -20.95
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -16.24 32.46
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.20 1.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.02 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.43 1.55
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.87 0.89
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.25 80.15
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.25 80.15
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 4.80 0.40
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.95 -2.31
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -5.75 -4.59
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 17.00 20.38
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -6.60 -5.96