Visa Inc. (NYSE: V)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0001403161
Market Cap 685.45 Bn
P/B 18.08
P/E 34.17
P/S 17.14
ROIC (Qtr) 30.94
Div Yield % 0.87
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 11.51
Total Debt (Qtr) 25.17 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.66

About

Visa Inc., commonly known as Visa, is a prominent player in the digital payments industry, with a purpose to "uplift everyone, everywhere by being the best way to pay and be paid." The company facilitates global commerce and money movement across more than 200 countries and territories. Visa's primary sources of revenue include transaction processing services, such as authorization, clearing, and settlement, as well as value-added services like issuing and acceptance solutions, risk and identity solutions, and advisory services. The company's main...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 23.06B provides robust 0.92x coverage of total debt 25.17B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 20.15B provide 3.62x coverage of short-term debt 5.57B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.06B provides exceptional 39.15x coverage of interest expenses 589M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.06B provides strong 25.71x coverage of stock compensation 897M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 21.58B exceeds capital expenditure of 1.48B by 14.56x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 23.06B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (4.63B) with a -4.98 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 20.15B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (887M), which is -22.72x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.06B is outpaced by equity issuance of (17.92B) (-1.29 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 5.55B, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 4.37B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 6.93 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 29.96 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 27.44 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 27.87 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 27.40 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 32.02 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.01 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 17.27 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 18.08 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 34.17 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.33 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 23.10 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.36 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 19.18 4.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 42.08 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -17.90 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 33.79 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 9.77 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1.35 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 2.38 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 0.92 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 1.16 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 4.93 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 15.43 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 11.38 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.40 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.19 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.58 0.46
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.08 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.66 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 42.08 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 42.08 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 65.00 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 61.96 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 60.49 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 82.60 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 50.10 -23.76