Urban Outfitters Inc (NASDAQ: URBN)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Retail CIK: 0000912615
Market Cap 7.11 Bn
P/B 2.63
P/E 14.53
P/S 1.18
ROIC (Qtr) 11.34
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.30
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.18 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44

About

Urban Outfitters Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol URBN, is a prominent player in the lifestyle products and services industry. The company boasts a rich history that spans over five decades, during which it has achieved an impressive compounded annual sales growth of approximately 5%. In the fiscal year ending January 31, 2024, the company reported sales of approximately $5.2 billion. URBN's primary business activities encompass the Retail, Wholesale, and Nuuly segments. The Retail segment, which contributes significantly to the company's...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 632.66M provides robust 0.53x coverage of total debt 1.18B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 632.66M provides exceptional 104.24x coverage of interest expenses 6.07M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 632.66M provides strong 20.85x coverage of stock compensation 30.35M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 402.68M exceeds capital expenditure of 229.98M by 1.75x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 4.91B provides 4.14x coverage of total debt 1.18B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 632.66M barely covers its investment activities of (320.34M), with a coverage ratio of -1.97, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating earnings of 610.57M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 336.52M, with a 1.81 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 336.52M relative to operating cash flow of 632.66M, which is 0.53x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 632.66M is outpaced by equity issuance of (172.88M) (-3.66 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 2.72B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (31.49M), which is -86.42x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Apparel Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ 175.80 Bn 34.34 2.98 13.19 Bn
2 ROST Ross Stores, Inc. 58.85 Bn 28.21 2.67 5.19 Bn
3 LULU lululemon athletica inc. 25.43 Bn 14.61 2.30 1.76 Bn
4 BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. 18.26 Bn 32.57 1.63 5.94 Bn
5 GAP Gap Inc 10.00 Bn 11.75 0.65 5.52 Bn
6 URBN Urban Outfitters Inc 7.11 Bn 14.53 1.18 1.18 Bn
7 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ 6.17 Bn 11.82 1.19 1.13 Bn
8 BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. 5.78 Bn 27.75 2.79 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.62 1.35
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.57 8.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.72 4.33
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.03 -60.97
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.80 6.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 19.75 22.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.12 2.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.33 1.11
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.63 3.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 14.53 195.16
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.88
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 12.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 16.33
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 100.60 13.58
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -19.38 -5.40
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 67.99 89.63
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 47.09 13.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 24.17 -16.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 38.47 10.85
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 39.51 6.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 51.55 10.94
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 83.96 -129.32
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.08 -1.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.22 1.40
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.26 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.51 1.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44 1.31
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 100.60 13.58
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 100.60 13.58
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.80 2.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 10.18 -1.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.08 -2.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 35.80 40.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.10 -4.02